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LNG: Europe Risks Idle or Stranded LNG Assets After Peak Demand Reached: IEEFA

LNG

Europe risks idle or stranded LNG assets as building of import terminals and related infrastructure continues and with peak LNG consumption likely already reached, according to IEEFA.

  • LNG Imports are set to decline about 11% this year, and the decline should accelerate to 37% by decade’s end.
  • Europe’s LNG import capacity is forecast to rise 21% to 414bcm by 2030 risking more than 300bcm of unused capacity.
  • The increased investment in import capacity is for security of supply to replace Russia pipeline supplies. However, average utilization rates in H1 fell to 47% from 63% a year ago while the share of LNG in Europe’s gas demand slipped to 31% from 37%.
  • “As increased electrification and renewables deployment help Germany continue to reduce gas consumption, it is unclear whether it will need so much,” said Ana Maria Jaller-Makarewicz. Germany’s gas demand fell 4% y/y in the first half of this year, she said.
  • The industrial demand outlook is bleak with operations limited and some plants shut down or relocated after the energy crisis.
  • LNG dependency in eastern and central Europe may however increase after the Ukraine/Russia transit gas agreement expires in December.

 

 

Source: IEEFA

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