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Lockdown Extended, Gov't To Announce Economic Relief Package

MYR

Spot USD/MYR reopened in close proximity to pre-weekend levels, ignoring latest developments surrounding Malaysia's lockdown measures, and last trades at MYR4.1565, virtually unchanged on the day.

  • PM Muhyiddin announced an extension of the nationwide lockdown until the daily Covid-19 case count falls below 4,000. A relaxation of a rule on eateries' operating hours, announced later by Defence Min Ismail Sabri, is unlikely to mitigate the impact of the extension of broader curbs. The gov't is expected to announce a fresh economic relief package today or on Tuesday, according to Muhyiddin. Separately, FinMin Zafrul wrote in a Facebook post over the weekend that the gov't will unveil assistance on loan moratorium soon.
  • Ismail Sabri clarified that interstate and interdistrict travel will remain banned in Phase 2 of the National Recovery Plan. He also provided a list of business activities which will be allowed in Phase 2, which includes haircuts, car washing as well as manufacturing a number of goods.
  • On the political front, speakers of both houses expressed the view that the parliament could reopen in a hybrid mode as soon as in late August.
  • Malaysia's MITI will release the latest trade data today, with BBG consensus seeing trade surplus at +MYR20.70bn. Looking further afield, Markit M'fing PMI hits the wires on Thursday.
  • Bears look for a move through last Friday's low of MYR4.1423, which would expose Jun 18 low of MYR4.1360. Bulls look for a clearance of Jun 24 multi-month high of MYR4.1710, before targeting Nov 4, 2020 high of MYR4.1745.

Fig. 1: Malaysia Daily Confirmed Covid-19 Cases

The red line represents the target for proceeding to Phase 2 of the National Recovery Plan.Source: MNI - Market News/Bloomberg

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