April 04, 2024 11:59 GMT
Looking Through ECB Accounts
EGBS
{EU} EGBS: EGBs are unmoved by the accounts of the ECB’s March meeting.
- Post-decision rhetoric has already pointed to June as the most likely starting point for the rate cutting cycle.
- That leaves markets essentially fully discounting a June cut, along with only ~2bp of easing being priced for next week’s decision.
- Bund futures are a little below the middle of their narrow session range, while the German yield curve sees modest bull flattening.
- Most EGBs are tighter to Bunds, with BTPs outperforming after this morning’s stronger-than-expected Italian PMI data.
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