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of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
ITALY
The centre-left coalition of parties was dealt a significant blow over the weekend as the centrist liberal Action party withdrew from the grouping. Without Action, which commands around 4-7% in most opinion polls, the already slim prospect of the parties of the left gaining power in the 25 September election were reduced further.
- Action leader Carlo Calenda - a former minister under the gov't of then Democratic Party PM Matteo Renzi - cited the inclusion of the socialist Italian Left party in the coalition as a signal of the incompatibility of the coalition with the Action party.
- The combined support for parties of the left now sits at around 30%, compared to around 45% for the combined parties of the centre-right and right (Brothers of Italy, League, Forza Italia and others).
- The anti-establishment 5-Star Movement continues to lose support as factionalism within the party leads to voters abandoning the most popular grouping at the previous general election. The party now consistently polls around 9-11%, from around 17% a year ago and 32.7% in the 2018 election.
Chart 1. Italy General Election Opinion Polling by Coalition, % and 6-Poll Moving Average
Source: Tecne, BiDiMedia, Demos & Pi, SWG, Quorum, Ipsos, Termometro Politico, EMG, Noto, Demopolis, Piepoli, Euromedia, Winpoll, MNI
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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