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M/M SA Core HICP Turns -ve For First Time Since Apr 2021(1/2)

EUROZONE DATA

MNI's calculations indicate broad-based further moderation in Eurozone core, services, non-energy industrial goods and food price momentum in November, based on the ECB's seasonally-adjusted monthly figures released this afternoon.

  • On a monthly sequential basis, headline HICP came in at -0.26% M/M, vs +0.06% prior - marking the first decline since May and the lowest reading since December 2022.
  • Core (ex-energy/food) HICP printed at -0.15% M/M (vs +0.16% prior), the first negative value since April 2021 and below the ECB's 2% target on an annualised basis for a third month in a row.
  • Services also declined to -0.10% M/M (vs +0.31% prior) - the first decline since June 2022 - while non-energy industrial goods fell to -0.10% M/M (vs -0.03% prior), for the 3rd consecutive decline (first time that's happened since Apr-May-Jun 2020).
  • While the November flash M/M figures were released this morning by Eurostat (-0.5% headline, the lowest since Jan 2020, vs -0.2% expected, +0.1% prior), the SA figures provide a better guide to actual inflation trends vs both those non-seasonally adjusted numbers, and vs the previous year's base effect impact on Y/Y readings.



Source: ECB, MNI

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