MNI China Daily Summary: Friday, December 13

MNI BRIEF: PBOC To Curb Any Yuan Overshot : PBOC Zou

MNI: GERMANY OCT EXPORTS -2.8% M/M (VS FCST -2.6%)

CHINA YTD NEW LOANS CNY17.1 TRLN VS MEDIAN CNY17.5 TRLN: PBOC

MNI: PBOC Net Injects CNY14.2 Bln via OMO Friday

MNI: PBOC Sets Yuan Parity Higher At 7.1876 Fri; -1.22% Y/Y

MNI: EUROZONE OCT IP +0% M/M, -1.2% Y/Y

MNI: SPAIN NOV HICP +0% M/M, +2.4% Y/Y

MNI: FRANCE NOV HICP -0.1% M/M, +1.7% Y/Y

MNI EXCLUSIVE: EU-Mercosur Deal Close, But Likely Short-Lived - Officials

AUSTRALIA: 2025 Election Outcome Looking More Uncertain According To Newspoll

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(M4) Trend Signals Remain Bullish

JGB TECHS
  • RES 3: 149.53 - High Mar 22 (cont) and a key resistance
  • RES 2: 148.74 - High Jul 24 (cont)
  • RES 1: 147.74 - High Jan 15 and bull trigger
  • PRICE: 145.45 @ 16:27 GMT Mar 25
  • SUP 1: 144.60 - Low Dec 08 and 11 (cont)
  • SUP 2: 143.44 - Low Oct 31 (cont)
  • SUP 3: 143.29 - 2.618 proj of the Mar 22 - Apr 18 - May 12 swing

Recent weakness in JGBs resulted in a low print of 144.90 in recent weeks. A stronger reversal higher is required to signal the end of the recent corrective phase. The bull trigger has been defined at 147.74, the mid-January high. A break would resume the uptrend. Moving average studies remain in a bull-mode set-up, highlighting an uptrend. For bears, a resumption of weakness would potentially open the 144.60 support.

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