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Manufacturers Expecting Slower Export Growth

SOUTH KOREA

One of the sub-components from the South Korean business survey (conducted by the BoK & released this morning) gauges manufacturers expectations for exports. The chart below plots these expectations against Korean headline y/y export growth. The two series share a reasonable correlation, with a further loss of export momentum expected based off the outlook from manufacturers.

  • This fits with the broader backdrop of softer global growth expectations. We have also had disappointing earnings updates from names in the tech space. This came through from US names late in the NY session, but also South Korean chipmaker SK Hynix noted this morning an 'unprecedented' slowdown in demand in its Q3 earnings update (see this Bloomberg story for more details). Samsung SDI just reported better than expected earnings and profits for Q3, providing some offset.

Fig 1: South Korean Manufacturers Expecting A Further Slowdown In Export Growth

Source: BoK/MNI - Market News/Bloomberg

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