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Market round-up post PMIs

UK
  • 2-year yields are back to where they were around half an hour ago (and only marginally below the moves lower seen from the German PMI data at 8:30BST (in contrast Schatz yields are still around 2bp lower than pre-German data.
  • GBPUSD is pretty much back to the 1.2895 level seen at 7:00BST this morning - from a low of 1.2878 just ahead of the data.
  • Market pricing for August is around 38% probability of a cut while 108bp is priced by August 2025 (around 2.4bp more than at yesterday's close).
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  • 2-year yields are back to where they were around half an hour ago (and only marginally below the moves lower seen from the German PMI data at 8:30BST (in contrast Schatz yields are still around 2bp lower than pre-German data.
  • GBPUSD is pretty much back to the 1.2895 level seen at 7:00BST this morning - from a low of 1.2878 just ahead of the data.
  • Market pricing for August is around 38% probability of a cut while 108bp is priced by August 2025 (around 2.4bp more than at yesterday's close).