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CROSS ASSET: Markets Pick Up Where They Left Off

CROSS ASSET

Markets have generally picked up where they left off on Friday - although the US 10y yield has drifted off the closing high to trade back to 4.60%, a move that's likely keeping the USD pinned so far Monday, helping the likes of AUD/USD and NZD/USD to hold above the recent pullback lows.

  • Equity futures remain lower across the board, with US index futures pointing to another lower open today to build on the softer Friday close. Meanwhile Bund futures are off the lowest levels, but remain perilously close to 132.71, the December low posted at the re-opening of trade after the weekend.
  • Significant newsflow has been few and far between, with US domestic politics focusing on the internal Republican debate over H-1B visas and the passing of President Carter.
  • Focus for the duration of Monday trade will be on the MNI Chicago PMI at 1445GMT, expected to tick up to 43.0 from 40.2 previously.
  • We anticipate volumes and broader liquidity to remain very light over the coming two sessions, particularly with tomorrow's European market closures and early closes elsewhere. EUR futures are posting cumulative volumes ~30% below an already subdued average for this time of day.
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Markets have generally picked up where they left off on Friday - although the US 10y yield has drifted off the closing high to trade back to 4.60%, a move that's likely keeping the USD pinned so far Monday, helping the likes of AUD/USD and NZD/USD to hold above the recent pullback lows.

  • Equity futures remain lower across the board, with US index futures pointing to another lower open today to build on the softer Friday close. Meanwhile Bund futures are off the lowest levels, but remain perilously close to 132.71, the December low posted at the re-opening of trade after the weekend.
  • Significant newsflow has been few and far between, with US domestic politics focusing on the internal Republican debate over H-1B visas and the passing of President Carter.
  • Focus for the duration of Monday trade will be on the MNI Chicago PMI at 1445GMT, expected to tick up to 43.0 from 40.2 previously.
  • We anticipate volumes and broader liquidity to remain very light over the coming two sessions, particularly with tomorrow's European market closures and early closes elsewhere. EUR futures are posting cumulative volumes ~30% below an already subdued average for this time of day.