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MNI BOE Preview - Feb 2023: Vote split could see dovish react

  • The MNI Markets team expects a 50bp hike at the February 2023 MPC meeting, but see around a 30% probability subjectively of a 25bp hike instead.
  • We think there is better risk-reward to position for a dovish outcome than for a hawkish move due to our expectations that there could be a more dovish vote split than the market expects.
  • For the full document including summaries of over 20 sell-side views see:

MNI BoE Preview - Feb23.pdf

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