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MNI Fed Preview - May 2022: Nearing Peak Hawkishness

May’s FOMC decision will be the most hawkish in recent memory, but aggressive market hike pricing limits the potential impact.

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY:

  • May’s FOMC decision will be the most hawkish in recent memory, with a 50bp hike and the launch of balance sheet reduction.
  • However, already aggressive market hike pricing limits the potential hawkish impact.
  • Focus will be on the FOMC’s openness to 75bp hikes and/or moving above “neutral”, and any hint of asset sales.

FOR THE FULL PUBLICATION PLEASE USE THE FOLLOWING LINK:

FedPrevMay2022.pdf


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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY:

  • May’s FOMC decision will be the most hawkish in recent memory, with a 50bp hike and the launch of balance sheet reduction.
  • However, already aggressive market hike pricing limits the potential hawkish impact.
  • Focus will be on the FOMC’s openness to 75bp hikes and/or moving above “neutral”, and any hint of asset sales.

FOR THE FULL PUBLICATION PLEASE USE THE FOLLOWING LINK:

FedPrevMay2022.pdf


Keep reading...Show less