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May Employment Reporter Preview - 08:30.....>

US DATA
US DATA: May Employment Reporter Preview - 08:30 EDT/13:30 BST
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- Nonfarm payrolls are expected to rise by 178,000 in May based on the Bloomberg
consensus and by 185,000 based on an MNI survey of analysts. There is no clear
bias toward over or underestimates in past May data.
- After the incredibly soft 27,000 increase in the APD measure of private
employment, some analysts shifted their expectations for Friday's report lower.
The BBG survey sees private payrolls rising by 172,000, while the MNI survey
sees a 175,000 increase. 
- As noted in an MNI preview published Thursday, other measures of employment
from ISM and the Conference Board suggest employment growth remained strong
offsetting some of the downside risk from ADP. Conversely, an MNI analysis noted
that when ADP prints below 100,000, BLS payrolls growth slows in the
corresponding month.
- The unemployment rate is expected to stay at 3.6%, while hourly earnings are
seen up 0.3%

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