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MBA Mortgage Applications Reverse Holiday Drop

US DATA
  • MBA mortgage applications bounced a seasonally adjusted 9.9% in the week to Jan 5, having fallen -10.7% in the prior, holiday-distorted week.
  • The move was led by refis bouncing 18.8% after -18%, but purchases also increased 5.6% after -7.6%.
  • The 30Y conforming mortgage rate increased another 5bps to 6.81%, off the recent low of 6.71% from Dec 22 but remains 109bps below late October highs.
  • Mortgage activity has lifted since that peaking in mortgage rates but remains unsurprisingly depressed historically - see chart.

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