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MEXICO: USDMXN Extending Gains, Sell-Side Recommendations Adding Pressure

MEXICO
  • The Mexican peso remains under pressure and USDMXN has extended gains to 1.2% in recent trade, rising above 19.20. Amid the known domestic pressures, there have been some notable analyst comments overnight that may be adding pressure to domestic assets.
  • Most recently, Citigroup strategists have closed their overweight recommendation on the Mexican peso, citing yen strength and the Government’s plan for judicial reform as key components prompting the move. 
  • This adds to a report from Morgan Stanley overnight that downgraded Mexican stocks to underweight following the judicial reform proposal being sent to Congress. Analysts said that replacing the judicial system should increase “Mexico’s risk premia and limit capex,” which they view as a problem given nearshoring is reaching key bottlenecks.

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