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Mid-Day Gas Summary: TTF Rebounds From 2-Month Low

NATURAL GAS

European gas prices are extending gains throughout this morning despite no significant change in fundamentals and forecasts for milder weather in the coming week. Front month TTF is recovering from Friday’s low of €37.75/MWh, driven by cooler weather and higher storage withdrawals.

    • TTF JAN 24 up 3.4% at 39.44€/MWh
    • TTF Q1 24 up 3.4% at 39.75€/MWh
    • TTF SUM 24 up 2.9% at 39€/MWh
  • Temperatures in NW and central Europe are forecast to rise above normal from this weekend and currently expected to remain on the warm side beyond the middle of December.
  • European gas demand for power could be limited in 2024 due to sustained hydro output, improving nuclear-plant availability and a rising share of wind and solar generation according to Bloomberg.
  • Pipeline supplies into Europe from Norway are back up slightly to 348.2mcm/d but just below the recent highs amid planned outages at the Dvalin field this week.
  • European natural gas storage is back to the top of the previous five year range at 93.31% full on Dec 4 according to GIE data after recent greater than normal withdrawal rates. The seasonal five year average is 83.2%.
  • European LNG sendout was back up to 462mcm/d on Dec 4 after dipping back to around 415mcm/d over the weekend.
  • LNG stockpiles held by Japanese utilities fell by 6.81% on the week to 2.19mn tons as of 3 December according to data released by the trade ministry.
  • Woodside Energy will buy 1.3mtpa of LNG for the duration of 20 years from Mexico Pacific's Saguaro Energia LNG project, the Australian company said.

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