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MIDTERMS: Democrats Flip Republican Leaning NC-13

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The Democrats have recorded a surprise victory in North Carolina's 13th district.

  • The district, left open by outgoing rep Ted Budd (R-NC) who has won the NC Senate race, has been won by Democrat Wiley Nickel.
  • The result may change the equation for Democrats in the House and has opened the door to Democrats flipping seats rated as "lean-Republican," rather than tossups.
  • Republican candidate Bo Hines, a 26-year-old former footballer endorsed by former President Donald Trump, is another black mark against Trump-endorsees and suggests that "candidate quality" may play a more significant role in House races than expected.
  • The result has seen betting markets slightly upgrade their chances of retaining control of the House.
  • Nate Silver at 538: "...at the risk of using a cliche, that 13th District call is a little bit of a game-changer. If Democrats can pick off some of the “likely Republican” seats, they have more pathways to hold the House. I wouldn’t bet on them doing so, but they have a chance."

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