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Mild inflation and political............>

CHINA PRESS
CHINA PRESS: Mild inflation and political uncertainty in the U.S. will continue
to pressure the dollar index but the yuan still has room for appreciation
against the U.S. unit - although not as much as in the first half, the China
Securities Journal reported Wednesday quoting analysts. Changes in the yield gap
between China and U.S. Treasury bonds, as well as the recently added
"counter-cyclical factor," were responsible for the increase in the yuan fixing
Monday by the People's Bank of China -- the strongest since Oct. 11, according
to Guotai Junan Securities futures analyst Wang Yang. Foreign-exchange traders
said the appreciation of the yuan was very likely. Although the dollar index may
rebound if the U.S. Federal Reserve announces in September a time for another
interest-rate increase and that it will shrink its balance sheet, expectations
for yuan depreciation have fallen significantly and the chances of this are most
unlikely, Wang Yan said. (China Securities Journal)

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