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Free AccessMixed reactions to PM May`s no-confidence vote...>
UK: Mixed reactions to PM May`s no-confidence vote win:
- Citi: The results of last night's vote might just make a pivot to a Norway
Plus option more likely in the near future.
- Natwest: For all the high drama... in terms of Brexit outcomes the reality is
that little has changed (this conclusion would even have held had May
resigned).. probabilities little altered: 5% no deal, 45% Remain (prob via 2nd
ref. though Art 50 revocation also poss.), 50% Parl. ratification of May's deal.
Market pricing looks overly pessimistic given reduced likelihood of no deal.
- Morgan Stanley: Reduces risk of a no deal outcome, and improves prospects for
her deal passing...If it does not pass, we would expect a run-off - with a
decision likely needed by end Jan to allow an orderly process - between the
government's deal and 2nd referendum, with a persistent risk of early elections.
- Rabobank: Nothing has really changed in the Brexit narrative, which remains
decidedly absent seasonal good cheer.
- SocGen: Does nothing to deliver a Brexit deal that is acceptable to Parliament
and the rest of the EU...isn't much to help sterling therefore.
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.