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Mizuho Suggest Gilt Outperformance Vs. Bunds Could Fade

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Mizuho note that “gilt outperformance vs. Bunds has been impressive, and likely a bit overextended. We think risk-reward to fade that outperformance looks attractive, with supply dynamics supportive of Bunds.”

  • Still, they are cautious of thinner European liquidity to start the week, while noting that this week’s mix of UK & European data provide some imminent event risk.
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Mizuho note that “gilt outperformance vs. Bunds has been impressive, and likely a bit overextended. We think risk-reward to fade that outperformance looks attractive, with supply dynamics supportive of Bunds.”

  • Still, they are cautious of thinner European liquidity to start the week, while noting that this week’s mix of UK & European data provide some imminent event risk.