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MNI 5 THINGS: Aus Nov Retail Sales Receive Black Friday Boost

By Lachlan Colquhoun
     SYDNEY (MNI) - Australian retail sales grew 0.4% m/m in November, just
ahead of the 0.3% m/m consensus expectation.  
     Here are five takeaways from today's data, released by the Australian
Bureau of Statistics:
     Retail sales register solid rise: Australian retail sales rose 0.4% on the
month in November, following a 0.3% gain in October and beating market
expectations for a repeat 0.3% expansion. November's increase in retail sales
was the strongest in seven months.
     Christmas came early: Black Friday retail promotions and early shopping for
Christmas had a positive impact on Australian consumer spending in November,
snapping several months of flatter results with a positive surprise for the
market. The monthly increase in sales was much less buoyant than the 1.3% rise
in November 2017, which was, however, followed by a drop in December.    
     RBA watching closely: Today's results are consistent with the Reserve Bank
of Australia (RBA) outlook, which is for a moderate improvement in consumer
sentiment and spending to flow through into growth and inflation this year.
Other recent economic indicators - notably building approvals, which fell by
9.1% in November - have gone against the RBA script, but today's result is
clearly more positive and provides a counter argument to suggestions the economy
has stalled. 
     Online sales hits new record: Australians spent A$1.89 billion through
online channels in November, a new record and 17.5% higher than in October.
Although online spending still only accounts for 6.6% of total retail turnover, 
the increase was much stronger than for department store sales, which rose by a
seasonally adjusted 0.4% in November. 
     New South Wales consumers in the doldrums: NSW is traditionally the leader
in the Australian economy, but retail sales declined by 0.1%, falling for a
second successive month. The state's housing market has been hit strongly by the
downturn in property prices, and this appears to be weighing on consumer
sentiment.
--MNI London Bureau; +44 207-862-7489; email: ukeditorial@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MALDS$,M$A$$$,M$L$$$]

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