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MNI 5 THINGS:BOC Delivers on Status Quo;Growing Trade Concerns>
By Yali N'Diaye
OTTAWA (MNI) - Following are the key points from the Bank of
Canada's interest rate announcement Wednesday:
- The BOC kept the overnight rate target unchanged at 1.25%, as
widely expected and priced in by markets. Repeats its "cautious" and
data dependent approach. Repeats January's conclusion that "While the
economic outlook is expected to warrant higher interest rates over time,
some continued monetary policy accommodation will likely be needed to
keep the economy operating close to potential and inflation on target."
- Voiced increasing concerns related to trade policy developments,
which are "an important and growing source of uncertainty for the global
and Canadian outlooks." The January statement said NAFTA-related
uncertainty was clouding the outlook.
- The BOC did not take the weaker January housing data as a sign of
a beginning of a sharp downfall, since new regulations in effect since
January had pushed households to rush into home buying at the end of
2017, followed by a drop in January. BOC said "it will take some time to
fully assess the impact" of tighter federal mortgage rules and recent
provincial measures on housing demand and prices.
- While acknowledging 4Q GDP was weaker than the BOC's projection,
the central bank said data confirmed its 2017 estimate of a 3% growth.
But the BOC noted that higher imports in 4Q reflected stronger business
investment, "which adds to the economy's capacity." This is important as
the evolution of capacity is one of the key developments high on teh
radar screen.
- On inflation, the BOC acknowledged core measures have edged up as
well as wage growth. But points that inflation is fluctuating due to
temporary factors, including minimum wage increases in January. Overall
it repeats inflation is close to its 2% target.
--MNI Ottawa Bureau; email: yali.ndiaye@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: M$C$$$,MACDS$]
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.