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Free AccessMNI ASIA OPEN: Focus on November Jobs Ahead Fed Blackout
MNI ASIA MARKETS ANALYSIS: Consolidation Ahead Nov Jobs Report
**MNI 5 Things: Consumer Credit Growth Weakest Since Nov 2012
By Jai Lakhani and David Robinson
**LONDON (MNI) - The following are the key points from the March money and
credit data release published Tuesday by the Bank of England:
- The data revealed net consumer credit fell to its weakest since November
2012 at stg0.254 billion after a February prior of stg1.660 billion. This blows
a hole in the belief that consumers are happily financing spending through
unsecured borrowing. Recent consumer sentiment surveys have pointed to weak
confidence and these data reflected both softer demand and higher repayments of
unsecured borrowing.
- Mortgage approvals continued to drift lower in March after falling from
February's 63,781 to 62,914. This was also below the previous six-month average
of 64,544 and well below the recent peak of 67,018 in January. The findings show
clearly the story of a market lacking momentum and is line with other data
survey results. BOE Director Alex Brazier said recently that the aggregate data
reflect a combination of "a very sharp slowdown in the buy-to-let market",
masked by a "pick-up in lending to owner-occupier mortgage holders."
- The average interest rates on the total stock of mortgages remained at
2.51%, with the effective fixed mortgage rate at its lowest since the series
began at 2.35%.
-Interest rates for new borrowers however edged higher to 2.04% from 2.02%
in February and 1.96% in January. The quoted rates data showed that higher
loan-to-value (LTV) interest rates had decreased while lower loan-to-value
interest rates had increased. For example, the 2 year fixed 95% LTV fell to
3.77% from 3.82% which is the lowest rate since January 2017. Furthermore, the
75% LTV increased to 1.53% from 1.49%.
-Not only was net consumer credit disappointing but net business lending
growth shrunk to zero from a February prior of stg2.6 billion. The zero increase
in net business lending was well below the previous six month average of stg1.4
billion. Net equity and bond issuance by non-financial corporations decreased by
stg0.4 billion each, while net loans by monetary financial institutions fell to
stg0.9 billion from a February prior of stg2.1 billion.
--MNI London Bureau; tel: +44 203-586-2225; email: les.commons@marketnews.com
--MNI London Bureau; +44 203 865 3828; email: jai.lakhani@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MABDS$,MAUDR$,MAUDS$,M$B$$$,M$E$$$,M$U$$$]
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.