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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Free AccessMNI POLITICAL RISK ANALYSIS - Week Ahead 2-8 December
MNI POLITICAL RISK - Trump Targets BRICS w/New Tariff Threat
MNI Gilt Week Ahead: Triple issuance week?
MNI US MARKETS ANALYSIS - French Politics Undermines EUR
**MNI 5 THINGS: UK Q4 GDP Growth Lower, Service Sector Weighs
--UK Q4 GDP +0.4% vs +0.5% First Estimate
**LONDON (MNI) - The following are the key points from the second estimate
of fourth quarter GDP data published Thursday by the Office for National
Statistics.
- Defying initial reports of a pick-up at the end of 2017, GDP growth
actually slowed to 0.4%, from an upwardly revised 0.5% in Q3, due to a modest
downgrade of the service sector. Services recorded no growth between November
and December, but Q4 services output was confirmed at 0.6% q/q when measured to
one decimal place.
- Net trade subtracted 0.5pp from overall growth, the biggest drag on Q4
growth and the worst performance from the sector since the third quarter of
2016. The closure of the key Forties pipeline led to an uptick in energy imports
in the closing months of 2017. Over the calendar year, net trade added 0.4pp to
growth of 1.7% - the first positive influence since 2011.
- Government spending jumped by 0.6% q/q, the biggest rise since Q1 2016,
lifted by a rise in healthcare spending. Healthcare spending data are partially
based on budgetary projections rather than outcomes.
- As highlighted in the "MNI 5 Things" preview, household spending fell by
0.3% q/q, down from a downwardly revised 0.4% q/q in the third quarter. This
correlates with the weaker retail sales momentum seen over the latter months of
the year and suggests the squeeze of household incomes has muted appetites to
spend.
- Business Investment, a indicator of business confidence, was flat in Q4 -
the worst quarterly performance in a year - after a upwardly-revised 0.9% rise
in Q3. Q3 business investment was originally reported at up 0.5%.
--MNI London Bureau; tel: +44 203-586-2225; email: les.commons@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MABDS$,MAUDR$,MAUDS$,M$B$$$,M$E$$$,M$U$$$]
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.