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Free Access**MNI 5 THINGS:US Core PCE Price Index +0.2%; Y/Y Up To +2.0%>
--5 Things We Learned From May Personal Income Data
By Sara Haire and Harrison Clarke
WASHINGTON (MNI) - The following are the key points from the May
personal income, spending, and price data released Friday by the
Bureau of Economic Analysis:
- The data suggest inflation is not retreating, with the year/year
rate for the core measure jumping up to 2.0% and the PCE price index
rising to 2.3%. This data could cause inflation hawks to be concerned,
however inflation was expected to rise.
- The core PCE price index +0.2% m/m (+0.21257% unrounded), as
expected, after a +0.2% gain (+0.17192%) in April. The y/y rate jumped
to 2.0% following a 1.8% gain in April. The overall PCE price index was
up 0.2% m/m after a 0.2% April reading as energy prices rose by 0.9% in
the current month, while food prices were down 0.2%. The PCE price index
y/y rate rose to 2.3% in May.
- The savings rate surprisingly jumped to 3.2% from 3.0% in April.
This still remains below the May 2017 level of 3.8%, suggesting
consumers continue to prioritize spending over savings.
- Current dollar PCE was up 0.2%, smaller than the 0.4% gain
expected. Real PCE was flat following a 0.3% gain in April, and was up
2.3% SAAR through two months of the second quarter. May PCE was lifted
by mild gains in both goods and services spending, but real PCE had a
solid gain in goods spending, but a decline in services spending.
- Personal income was up 0.4%, right on target with analysts'
expectations, led by a 0.3% rise in wages and salaries, as well a a
large 0.7% gain in personal income receipts on assets, as well as
smaller gains in other income categories. Personal taxes declined by 0.2
after a 0.4% decline in April. Disposable personal income posted a 0.4%
rise. Real disposable income rose 0.2%.
** MNI Washington Bureau: 202-371-2121 **
[TOPICS: MAUDS$,M$U$$$,MAUDR$]
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.