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Free AccessMNI ASIA Fixed Income Technical Analysis
By Les Castell
Click below for today's MNI FI Technical Analysis Report -
http://tinyurl.com/phluope
AUSSIE 3-YEAR TECHS: (Z17) Correcting After last Weeks Failure At 98.080
*RES 4: 98.140 Repeated daily highs June
*RES 3: 98.120 76.4% Fibo of 98.240-97.720
*RES 2: 98.080 Nov 5, Nov 6 highs
*RES 1: 98.060 Nov 7 high
*PRICE: 98.000 @ 2315GMT
*SUP 1: 97.980 Nov 3 low
*SUP 2: 97.940 Oct 27 high, 38.2% of 97.720-98.080
*SUP 3: 97.900 Oct 27, 30 lows, 50% of 97.720-98.080
*SUP 4: 97.850 Congestion area mid Oct, 61.8% 97.720-98.080
*COMMENTARY* Unable to sustain a break above the previous 98.030 resistance last
week. A high of 98.080 before succumbing to some near term overbought
conditions. This sees the Nov 3 low at 97.980 as the first support of note and
protection against a greater correction of gains seen since the Sep 21 low at
97.720. Meanwhile, resistance falls slightly to 98.060, back above here needed
before the upside back in vogue.
AUSSIE 10-YEAR TECHS: (Z17) 97.3100-97.3000 Provide Next Decent Support
Area
*RES 4: 97.4350 Nov 6 high
*RES 3: 97.4100 Congestion area Nov 6-Nov 8
*RES 2: 97.4000 Nov 9 high
*RES 1: 97.3800 Nov 10 high
*PRICE: 97.3300 @ 2328GMT
*SUP 1: 97.3150 Oct 31 high, now support
*SUP 2: 97.3100 Nov 2 low
*SUP 3: 97.3000 76.4% Fibo of 97.260-97.435
*SUP 4: 97.2600 Nov 1 low
*COMMENTARY* Last week saw the pullback from the Nov 6 high at 97.4350 continue.
This has so far fallen just below support from the 61.8% Fibo retrace level at
97.3250. The Oct 31 high at 97.3150 and the Nov 2 low at 97.3100 now act as
protection against any further losses and perhaps a run at 97.3000 next. In the
meantime. look to Friday's 97.3800 high for resistance and the bar to any near
term recovery hopes.
US 10YR FUTURE TECHS: (Z17) Decline Edges Towards A Test Of key 124-155 Support
*RES 4: 125-195 38.2% Fibo of 127-285/124-060
*RES 3: 125-150/160 Nov 7, Oct 19 highs
*RES 2: 125-080 Series hourly highs Nov 9
*RES 1: 125-015 Hourly resistance
*PRICE: 124-220 @2335GMT
*SUP 1: 124-200 Hourly support
*SUP 2: 124-155 Hourly basing area Oct 25-26
*SUP 3: 124-060/065 Oct 25, Mar 29 lows
*SUP 4: 123-255 1% volatility band
*COMMENTARY* Unable to sustain a break above the 76.4% Fibo retrace level at
125-135. A high of 125-150 last week and failed to challenge resistance from
between the higher 125-160/125-195 area. The subsequent fall below 125-005 was
the immediate concern, a low of 124-200 so far, with the downside still
protected by the lower 124-155 level. In the meantime, look to 125-015/125-080
for resistance.
JGB TECHS: (Z17) Falling Away After Challenge To 76.4% Fibo Level
*RES 4: 151.17 Sep 12 high
*RES 3: 151.07 Nov 8 high, 76.4% Fibo of 151.37-150.08
*RES 2: 151.00 Hourly recovery high Nov 9
*RES 1: 150.89 Nov 9 low, now resistance
*PRICE: 150.76 @ 2355GMT
*SUP 1: 150.72 Nov 10 low
*SUP 2: 150.66/67 Nov 2 high, 61.8% Fibo of 150.42-151.07
*SUP 3: 150.57/59 76.4% of 150.42-151.07, Oct 6 high
*SUP 4: 150.53 Nov 1 high, now support
*COMMENTARY* Gapped lower on Friday, following last week's challenge to the
76.4% Fibo retrace level at 151.07. A low of 150.72 so far, as we initially give
back some of the gains made from this month's earlier 150.42 base. Any lower and
look to the 150.67-150.66 area for next support. This then protecting what looks
to be a stronger region between the Oct 6 high at 150.59 and the 150.57 Fibo
retrace level. Meanwhile, 150.89-151.00 provides resistance.
--MNI London Bureau;tel: +44 207-862-7495; email: les.castell@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE]
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.