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October 18, 2017 20:56 GMT
MNI Asian Morning FI Technical Analysis
19 October 2017
By Kyle Shortland
Click below for today's MNI FI Technical Analysis Report -
http://tinyurl.com/phluope
AUSSIE 3-YR TECHS: (Z17) Bear Channel Top Caps
*RES 4: 97.937 - 55-DMA
*RES 3: 97.935 - Hourly resistance Sept 14
*RES 2: 97.904 - Bollinger band top
*RES 1: 97.902 - Daily Bear channel top
*PRICE: 97.870 @ 2030GMT
*SUP 1: 97.860 - Low Oct 17
*SUP 2: 97.840 - 21-DMA
*SUP 3: 97.820 - Low Oct 6
*SUP 4: 97.780 - Low Sept 28 & Oct 2
*COMMENTARY: The daily bear channel top is currently capping with the 97.900-950
region now key. Bulls need a close above 97.950 to confirm a break of the 55-DMA
and shift focus to 98.011-050 where 100 & 200-DMAs are situated. The 97.860
support is key today with bears needing a close below to ease pressure on
resistance layers. Overall bears need a close below 97.820 to shift focus back
to 97.720 2017 lows.
AUSSIE 10-YR TECHS: (Z17) Capped Ahead Of 55-DMA
*RES 4: 97.3166 - 200-DMA
*RES 3: 97.2741 - 55-DMA
*RES 2: 97.2500 - High Oct 18
*RES 1: 97.2400 - Hourly support Oct 18 now resistance
*PRICE: 97.2150 @ 2030GMT
*SUP 1: 97.1850 - Low Oct 17
*SUP 2: 97.1688 - 21-DMA
*SUP 3: 97.1650 - Low Oct 13
*SUP 4: 97.1450 - Hourly support Oct 12
*COMMENTARY: Pressure on 97.2300 resulted in a break higher only to be rejected
ahead of the 55-DMA and seeing focus now back on 97.1650-1850 supports. Bears
need a close below 97.1650 to see bears regain the upper hand and immediate
focus return to 97.0600-0900. Bulls now need a close above the 55-DMA to
pressure layers of resistance 97.2741-3490 where 100 & 200-DMAs and the bear
channel top remain.
US 10-YR FUTURE TECHS: (Z17) Below 124-310 Targets 124-140/225
*RES 4: 125-29+ 100-DMA
*RES 3: 125-25+ High Oct 13
*RES 2: 125-16+ Hourly support Oct 16 now resistance
*RES 1: 125-10 Alternating hourly support/resistance
*PRICE: 125-04 @ 2030GMT
*SUP 1: 125-01+ Low Oct 17
*SUP 2: 124-31 Hourly support Oct 9
*SUP 3: 124-28 Bollinger band base
*SUP 4: 124-22+ Low Oct 6
*COMMENTARY: The failure to trouble 100 & 55-DMAs has left the contract looking
heavy with bears now looking for a close below 124-31 to confirm focus on
124-14/22+ where July lows are situated. Layers of resistance are following the
contract lower and weighing with daily studies well placed for losses. Bulls
need a close above 125-16+ to ease bearish pressure and return focus to
125-25+/126-09 where 55 & 100-DMAs are situated.
US 10-YR YIELD TECHS: Focus Returns To 2.371-437
*RES 4: 2.423 - Monthly High Aug May 11
*RES 3: 2.402 - High Oct 6
*RES 2: 2.372 - Hourly resistance Oct 6
*RES 1: 2.355 - Hourly resistance Oct 11
*PRICE: 2.343 @ 2030GMT
*SUP 1: 2.325 - Hourly support Oct 18
*SUP 2: 2.296 - Low Oct 17
*SUP 3: 2.278 - Low Oct 16
*SUP 4: 2.245 - High Sept 26 now support
*COMMENTARY: The lack of follow through on Friday's close below 21 (2.305) & 200
(2.322) DMAs has resulted in higher daily lows with pressure resulting in a
close above 2.334 with focus now having returned to the 2.372-437 region. Above
2.437 remains needed to shift initial focus to 2.544-558 and overall focus to
2017 highs (2.628). Bears now look for a close below 2.325 to gain breathing
room and below 2.278 to shift focus back to 2.208-245.
JGB TECHS: (Z17) Focus Back on 150.06-08
*RES 4: 150.52 - 100-DMA
*RES 3: 150.48 - Alternating hourly support/resistance
*RES 2: 150.41 - High Oct 18
*RES 1: 150.34 - Hourly resistance Oct 18
*PRICE: 150.27 @ 2030GMT
*SUP 1: 150.18 - Hourly support Oct 3
*SUP 2: 150.08 - Low Oct 3
*SUP 3: 150.06 - Low July 20, Bollinger band base
*SUP 4: 149.92 - Low July 14
*COMMENTARY: Hesitation ahead of the 150.46-52 region where key DMAs are tightly
clustered has taken its toll with the contract looking heavy and the break of
150.28 shifting immediate focus to 150.06-08. A close below is then needed to
target 149.65 July lows. Bulls continue to look for a close above the 100-DMA to
ease bearish pressure and above the 55-DMA (150.68) to end bearish hopes and
shift focus to 150.96-151.01.
--MNI Beijing Bureau; tel: +44 207-862-7435; email: kyle.shortland@mni-news.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE]
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Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
Sign up now for free trial access to this content.
Please enter your details below.
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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