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MNI Asian Morning FI Technical Analysis
26 April 2018
By Kyle Shortland
Click below for today's MNI FI Technical Analysis Report -
http://tinyurl.com/phluope
AUSSIE 3-YR TECHS: (M18) 97.735-795 Resistance Region Key
*RES 4: 97.795 - High Apr 16
*RES 3: 97.787 - 21-DMA
*RES 2: 97.760 - High Apr 18
*RES 1: 97.735 - High Apr 20
*PRICE: 97.705 @ 2130GMT
*SUP 1: 97.675 - 2018 Low Apr 24
*SUP 2: 97.605 - 2015 Low Dec 15 2015
*SUP 3: 97.510 - High Nov 25 2014 now support
*SUP 4: 97.350 - Low Oct 20 2014
*COMMENTARY: Hesitation ahead of 2018 & 2+yr lows continues with immediate
currently on 97.605. O/S daily studies looking to correct and the Bollinger base
(97.670) remain key concerns for bears. In saying that, bulls now need a close
above 97.735 to gain breathing room and above 97.795 to confirm a break of the
21-DMA & shift focus back to 97.839-865 where 55 (97.839) & 100 (97.846) DMAs
are situated.
AUSSIE 10-YR TECHS: (M18) Bulls Need Close Above 97.1500
*RES 4: 97.2289 - 55-DMA
*RES 3: 97.2100 - Low Apr 17 now resistance
*RES 2: 97.1850 - Hourly resistance Apr 20
*RES 1: 97.1500 - High Apr 24
*PRICE: 97.0950 @ 2130GMT
*SUP 1: 97.0800 - Low Feb 21
*SUP 2: 97.0688 - Weekly Bull channel base off 2008 Low
*SUP 3: 97.0450 - 2018 Low Feb 6
*SUP 4: 96.9875 - 2017 Low Mar 10 2017
*COMMENTARY: The contract remains offered with immediate bearish focus on
97.0450-0800 where the weekly bull channel base off 2008 lows is located. O/S
studies and the Bollinger base (97.0845) remain key concerns for bears. Bulls
now need a close above 97.1500 to gain breathing room and above the 200-DMA
(97.2805) to shift initial focus back to 97.3600 and overall focus to
97.4000-4400. Below 96.9650 is needed to initially 2015 lows (96.7950).
US 10-YR FUTURE TECHS: (M18) Bulls Need Close Above 119-14+
*RES 4: 120-02+ Low Apr 18 now resistance
*RES 3: 119-29+ High Apr 20
*RES 2: 119-14+ Hourly resistance Apr 23
*RES 1: 119-06 Hourly resistance Apr 25
*PRICE: 119-01 @ 2130GMT
*SUP 1: 118-31 2018 Low Apr 25
*SUP 2: 118-24 Low Apr 13 2011
*SUP 3: 117-29+ Monthly Low Apr 8 2011
*SUP 4: 117-25 Weekly Bear channel base
*COMMENTARY: Fresh 2018 & 7yr lows continue with bears initially targeting
117-22+/118-24 where the weekly bear channel base and 2011 low are located. The
Bollinger base 119-05+ and O/S studies remain key concerns for bears with
potential to limit follow through. Bulls still need a close above 119-14+ to
gain breathing room and above Y120-06+ to initially target a correction back to
120-21+/24.
US 10-YR YIELD TECHS: Hesitating Ahead Of 2014 High
*RES 4: 3.168 - Weekly Bull channel top
*RES 3: 3.073 - Low July 6 2011 now resistance
*RES 2: 3.041 - 2014 High Jan 2
*RES 1: 3.035 - 2018 High Apr 25
*PRICE: 3.032 @ 2130GMT
*SUP 1: 3.007 - Hourly support Apr 25
*SUP 2: 2.957 - Low Apr 24
*SUP 3: 2.925 - Hourly support Apr 20
*SUP 4: 2.904 - Low Apr 20
*COMMENTARY: Pressure remains on 3.041-073. The Bollinger top (3.000) & O/B
studies remain concerns for bulls. Initial support is noted at 3.007 with bears
needing a close below to gain breathing room and target a correction back to
2.925-957 and below 2.925 to shift initial focus back to 2.814-876 where 21
(2.839) & 55 (2.853) DMAs are situated. Bulls look for a close above 3.073 to
shift focus 3.168-223 where the weekly bull channel top is noted.
JGB TECHS: (M18) Above 150.52 To Gain Breathing Room
*RES 4: 150.83 - 55-DMA
*RES 3: 150.74 - 100-DMA
*RES 2: 150.70 - Low Apr 2 now resistance
*RES 1: 150.52 - Hourly support Apr 25 now resistance
*PRICE: 150.48 @ 2130GMT
*SUP 1: 150.43 - Low Apr 23
*SUP 2: 150.36 - High Feb 1 now support
*SUP 3: 150.09 - 2018 Low Feb 2
*SUP 4: 149.55 - 200-WMA
*COMMENTARY: Bears have reasserted dominance with pressure firmly on the
150.36-43 region. Bears continue to look for a close below 150.36 to shift
immediate focus to tests of 2018 lows. Fresh 2018 lows then target the 200-WMA.
(149.55). Bulls now need a close above 150.52 to gain breathing room and above
150.70 to shift initial focus back to 150.79-83 where 21 & 55-DMAs are located.
O/S studies and the Bollinger base (150.53) are concerns for bears.
--MNI Beijing Bureau; tel: +44 207-862-7435; email: kyle.shortland@mni-news.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE]
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.