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MNI Asian Morning FI Technical Analysis

26 April 2018
By Kyle Shortland
Click below for today's MNI FI Technical Analysis Report -
http://tinyurl.com/phluope
AUSSIE 3-YR TECHS: (M18) 97.735-795 Resistance Region Key 
*RES 4: 97.795 - High Apr 16 
*RES 3: 97.787 - 21-DMA 
*RES 2: 97.760 - High Apr 18 
*RES 1: 97.735 - High Apr 20
*PRICE: 97.705 @ 2130GMT
*SUP 1: 97.675 - 2018 Low Apr 24 
*SUP 2: 97.605 - 2015 Low Dec 15 2015 
*SUP 3: 97.510 - High Nov 25 2014 now support 
*SUP 4: 97.350 - Low Oct 20 2014
*COMMENTARY: Hesitation ahead of 2018 & 2+yr lows continues with immediate
currently on 97.605. O/S daily studies looking to correct and the Bollinger base
(97.670) remain key concerns for bears. In saying that, bulls now need a close
above 97.735 to gain breathing room and above 97.795 to confirm a break of the
21-DMA & shift focus back to 97.839-865 where 55 (97.839) & 100 (97.846) DMAs
are situated.
     AUSSIE 10-YR TECHS: (M18) Bulls Need Close Above 97.1500 
*RES 4: 97.2289 - 55-DMA
*RES 3: 97.2100 - Low Apr 17 now resistance
*RES 2: 97.1850 - Hourly resistance Apr 20
*RES 1: 97.1500 - High Apr 24
*PRICE: 97.0950 @ 2130GMT
*SUP 1: 97.0800 - Low Feb 21
*SUP 2: 97.0688 - Weekly Bull channel base off 2008 Low
*SUP 3: 97.0450 - 2018 Low Feb 6
*SUP 4: 96.9875 - 2017 Low Mar 10 2017
*COMMENTARY: The contract remains offered with immediate bearish focus on
97.0450-0800 where the weekly bull channel base off 2008 lows is located. O/S
studies and the Bollinger base (97.0845) remain key concerns for bears. Bulls
now need a close above 97.1500 to gain breathing room and above the 200-DMA
(97.2805) to shift initial focus back to 97.3600 and overall focus to
97.4000-4400. Below 96.9650 is needed to initially 2015 lows (96.7950).
     US 10-YR FUTURE TECHS: (M18) Bulls Need Close Above 119-14+
*RES 4: 120-02+ Low Apr 18 now resistance
*RES 3: 119-29+ High Apr 20
*RES 2: 119-14+ Hourly resistance Apr 23
*RES 1: 119-06  Hourly resistance Apr 25
*PRICE: 119-01 @ 2130GMT
*SUP 1: 118-31  2018 Low Apr 25
*SUP 2: 118-24  Low Apr 13 2011
*SUP 3: 117-29+ Monthly Low Apr 8 2011
*SUP 4: 117-25  Weekly Bear channel base
*COMMENTARY: Fresh 2018 & 7yr lows continue with bears initially targeting
117-22+/118-24 where the weekly bear channel base and 2011 low are located. The
Bollinger base 119-05+ and O/S studies remain key concerns for bears with
potential to limit follow through. Bulls still need a close above 119-14+ to
gain breathing room and above Y120-06+ to initially target a correction back to
120-21+/24.
     US 10-YR YIELD TECHS: Hesitating Ahead Of 2014 High
*RES 4: 3.168 - Weekly Bull channel top 
*RES 3: 3.073 - Low July 6 2011 now resistance 
*RES 2: 3.041 - 2014 High Jan 2 
*RES 1: 3.035 - 2018 High Apr 25
*PRICE: 3.032 @ 2130GMT
*SUP 1: 3.007 - Hourly support Apr 25 
*SUP 2: 2.957 - Low Apr 24 
*SUP 3: 2.925 - Hourly support Apr 20 
*SUP 4: 2.904 - Low Apr 20
*COMMENTARY: Pressure remains on 3.041-073. The Bollinger top (3.000) & O/B
studies remain concerns for bulls. Initial support is noted at 3.007 with bears
needing a close below to gain breathing room and target a correction back to
2.925-957 and below 2.925 to shift initial focus back to 2.814-876 where 21
(2.839) & 55 (2.853) DMAs are situated. Bulls look for a close above 3.073 to
shift focus 3.168-223 where the weekly bull channel top is noted.
     JGB TECHS: (M18) Above 150.52 To Gain Breathing Room
*RES 4: 150.83 - 55-DMA
*RES 3: 150.74 - 100-DMA
*RES 2: 150.70 - Low Apr 2 now resistance
*RES 1: 150.52 - Hourly support Apr 25 now resistance
*PRICE: 150.48 @ 2130GMT
*SUP 1: 150.43 - Low Apr 23 
*SUP 2: 150.36 - High Feb 1 now support 
*SUP 3: 150.09 - 2018 Low Feb 2 
*SUP 4: 149.55 - 200-WMA
*COMMENTARY: Bears have reasserted dominance with pressure firmly on the
150.36-43 region. Bears continue to look for a close below 150.36 to shift
immediate focus to tests of 2018 lows. Fresh 2018 lows then target the 200-WMA.
(149.55). Bulls now need a close above 150.52 to gain breathing room and above
150.70 to shift initial focus back to 150.79-83 where 21 & 55-DMAs are located.
O/S studies and the Bollinger base (150.53) are concerns for bears.
--MNI Beijing Bureau; tel: +44 207-862-7435; email: kyle.shortland@mni-news.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE]

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