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MNI BOC Review, Apr'23: Another Pause To Buy A Two Month Breather

Source: Bank of Canada

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

  • The BoC held the overnight rate at 4.5% as unanimously expected for the second meeting running.
  • The suite of communications leant slightly hawkish, including Governor Macklem saying rate cuts later in the year doesn’t look like the most likely scenario, but market pricing was little moved after recent solid trimming of cut expectations as banking stresses stabilised.
  • Analysts mostly left their base case for rates on hold through 2023. Some saw added risk of further hikes but a couple note openness to cuts towards year-end.
  • As opposed to the five-week gap since the last meeting, the eight weeks to Jun 7 allows plenty of data for the BoC to assess. In the near-term, Gov Macklem speaks at the IMF today at 0900ET before CPI Apr 18.

PLEASE FIND THE FULL REPORT HERE:

BOCReviewApr2023.pdf


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