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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Get the latest on Central Bank Policy and FX & FI Markets to help inform both your strategic and tactical decision-making.
Free AccessMNI ASIA OPEN: MN Fed Kashkari High CPI Needed for Dec Pause
MNI ASIA MARKETS ANALYSIS: Yr End Rate Cut Odds Ease Pre-CPI
MNI US CPI Preview: Core Goods Inflation Back In Focus
MNI BRIEF: Australian Unemployment To Remain Low - Kohler
The Reserve Bank of Australia noted, while the balance between labour demand and supply had improved, unemployment will remain below pre-pandemic levels for the next two years.
Speaking at the Committee for Economic Development of Australia today, Marion Kohler, head of the economic analysis department at the RBA, said the recent softness in economic activity will take time to flow through to the labour market and inflation. “The labour market is still very tight. The unemployment rate is around multi-decade lows, and it is expected to remain below pre-pandemic levels over the next couple of years.”
RBA Governor Philip Lowe stressed Tuesday the Reserve would seek to protect employment gains as it fights inflation (see: MNI: RBA Inflation Strategy to Protect Labour Gains), following its shock 25bp hike to 3.85% (see: MNI RBA WATCH: Shifts Hawkish, Targets Services).
Kohler said inflation eased over the March quarter and will decline further over 2023. “Two competing forces are driving the inflation outlook. The ongoing tightness in the labour market and high level of demand for services lead us to expect domestic inflationary pressures to continue. On the other hand, goods price inflation should ease, as the resolution of supply chain issues flows through."
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.