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Free AccessMNI BRIEF: BOE Pill: Don't expect aggressive hikes medium term
Projections in the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Report showing inflation undershooting the 2.0% target if Bank Rate were to follow market expectations and peak close to 1.5% suggest "one shouldn't assume interest rate rises will be aggressive in the medium term," BOE Chief Economist Huw Pill said Friday.
Pill, speaking at a Bank event, highlighted the intense near-term inflation pressures coming from the labour market. "The labour market is tight. We expect it to tighten further," and this is driving up wages, particularly given the difficulty in recruiting overseas staff, he said. Further ahead, however, unemployment is seen rising again and upward pressure on interest rates should ease.
On Thursday, the BOE increased the Bank Rate for a second consecutive meeting, hiking 25 bps to 0.5%, with 4 of the 9 MPC members voting for a 50 bps hike.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.