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of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Free AccessMNI BRIEF: ECB SPF Shows Slight Downward Inflation Shift
Headline inflation is expected to fall from 5.6% in 2023 to to 2.7% in 2024 and 2.1% in 2025, according to the latest ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters, with longer-term expectations unchanged at 2.1% for 2028. Expectations for core inflation were unchanged for 2023 at 5.1%, but were revised down by 0.2% to 2.9% and by 0.1% to 2.2% in 2024 and 2025, respectively.
Levels of uncertainty around the outlook remained elevated, with the impact of higher oil prices a key concern. The balance of risks to the GDP growth outlook remained tilted to the downside. Average unemployment rate expectations dipped slightly, to 6.5-6.7% for 2023 to 2025 and 6.5% for 2028.
GDP growth expectations in the fourth quarter of 2023 survey round stood at 0.5% for 2023, 0.9% for 2024, 1.5% for 2025 and 1.3% for 2028.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.