Free Trial

MNI BRIEF: Gas Price Shock Hit To EA GDP of 0.2% - ECB Study

(MNI) LONDON
(MNI) Frankfurt

Soaring natural gas prices are currently the main driver of low growth in the euro area, a study published as part of the latest ECB Economic Bulletin concludes, with the combined effect of surging oil and gas costs potentially reducing euro area output by 0.2% by the end of this year.

The direct and indirect effect of a 10% gas rationing shock on the corporate sector could cut euro area gross value added by about 0.7%, while a permanent one standard deviation increase in gas prices from the first quarter of 2021 would cut euro area GDP by around 0.2% over a three-year projection horizon

MNI London Bureau | +44 20 3983 7894 | luke.heighton@marketnews.com
True
MNI London Bureau | +44 20 3983 7894 | luke.heighton@marketnews.com
True

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.