MNI BRIEF: RBA Sees Anchored Inflation Expectations - Hunter
MNI (SYDNEY) - The Reserve Bank of Australia is confident inflation expectations remain well anchored, with short-term notions of price rises appearing to converge towards the long-term outlook.
In an industry presentation on Wednesday, Assistant Governor and Chief Economist Sarah Hunter noted there was no evidence of expectations being more persistent than normal. “Recent research has improved our understanding of how people form inflation expectations,” she said. “As a result, we have been able to better analyse how expectations have evolved during the recent high-inflation period and it’s a good news story with respect to expectations.”
However, Hunter noted certain prices that were important for households had a higher affect on expectations in both directions, which required greater monitoring. "Prices that change regularly or that people pay often may be particularly influential when people form their expectations – they’re more visible, and they could be seen as a proxy for what’s happening to all prices across the economy. These are known as salient prices.”
The RBA held the cash rate at 4.35% at its most recent meeting. (See MNI RBA WATCH: Changed Messaging Considered In Hawkish Hold)