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Free AccessMNI: Canada Flash Retail Sales Rise 0.8% In Dec, Nov Fell 0.2%
Canadian retail sales increased 0.8% in December according to a Statistics Canada advance estimate Friday while the November figure lagged economists predictions for no change with a 0.2% decrease, continuing a pattern of inconsistent demand ahead of next Wednesday's central bank rate decision.
While the December figure did not come with a breakdown of what sub-sectors led the increase, the drop in November was driven by food and beverage retailers who saw receipts decline by 1.4%. Motor vehicle and parts dealers were up for a third consecutive month, rising 0.5%.
Sales excluding autos and parts fell 0.5% compared to the consensus for a 0.1% decline, and after excluding gasoline as well they fell by 0.6%, Statistics Canada said.
After removing price changes the volume of sales decreased by 0.2%. That measure is a closer indication of the contribution to gross domestic product.
Statistics Canada revised the October retail headline figure down by 0.2 percentage points to 0.5%.
The report continues to suggest some life in domestic demand even after the Bank of Canada's 10 interest-rate hikes. Officials are also confronting sticky core inflation even as they say there is more evidence they've done enough to re-balance what had been an overheated economy. Other recent data suggest less spending potential with unemployment rising about a percentage point from a record low in recent months and a record jump in mortgage rates pressuring consumer finances.
Other reports from StatsCan Friday suggest the economy is losing some momentum, with a 1.7% rise in people drawing jobless benefits in November and mortgage credit slowing to 3.1% in November from a year earlier.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.