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MNI Chicago Survey™: Supply Chain Pressures Normalizing

US DATA
MNI (London)

The Chicago Business Barometer™ Survey asked firms in April whether they were seeing any easing up in the supply chain blockages.

  • 70.6% of respondents were: The majority (approx. 47.1%) responded yes - this was the largest share since the Chicago Survey began asking this question in November 2021.
  • A further 29.4% of firms were somewhat seeing easing up as reduced demand led to shorter lead times.
  • The minority of 23.5% failed to see easing up in the supply chain blockages, with firms citing smaller suppliers were experiencing financial issues recently and Tier 2 shortages continued, including for semiconductors.
  • In April, the Chicago PMI™ Supplier Deliveries index was lower than both the 12-month average and 10-year average, with only 9.7% of respondents citing slower delivery times (versus a peak of 75.8% in August).
  • Easing supply pressures were reiterated by the NY Fed Global Supply Chain Pressure Index, which dipped beneath it's historical averages dating back to 1997 in the March calculation.
  • As such, the data points towards global supply conditions having largely normalized. Soft demand is in part responsible for reduced bottlenecks, with factory-gate inflation easing off further as firms move excess supply.

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