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Free AccessMNI US MARKETS ANALYSIS - AUD/JPY Finds Bottom on China News
MNI US OPEN - PBOC Makes First Major Policy Tweak Since 2011
MNI China Daily Summary: Friday, August 9
YUAN: The Chinese currency has "more basis to be kept basically stable"
after it breached 7 against the U.S. dollar on Aug 5, and won't likely repeat
the plunge seen in August 2015, said Ma Jun, a monetary policy committee member
at the PBOC. The yuan's plunge in 2015 followed years of surge tracking the
dollar, which rose 26% in 2011-2015, thus facing depreciation pressure. In
contrast, both the yuan and the dollar have been stable this year, according to
Ma. The yuan has been more flexible in recent years, closer to the rate of
volatility of major currencies, while companies and banks are more used to
two-way yuan movement, said Ma. The plunge in 2015 followed large capital
inflow, some of which evaded regulators, and thus creating quick outflow
pressure following the currency's drop, Ma added.
YUAN: The yuan weakened to 7.0520 against the dollar from Thursday's close
of 7.0443. The PBOC set the dollar-yuan central parity rate above the 7 level
for a second trading day at 7.0136, compared with 7.0039 set on Thursday.
DATA: CPI rose to 2.8% y/y from June's 2.7%, hitting a 17-month high, data
released by the National Bureau of Statistics showed. An MNI survey of
economists had projected 2.7%. PPI fell 0.3% y/y from June's 0.0%, the lowest
level since August 2016, missing the -0.1% forecast by MNI. Further monetary
easing may be constrained by recent price pressures, according to economists.
PBOC: The PBOC conducted the third central bank bills swap (CBS) operation
to support the issuance of perpetual bonds by commercial banks. The CBS, valued
at CNY5 billion, are open to primary dealers at a fixed rate at 0.1%, according
to a statement on the PBOC website. The swap will be due on November 8, 2019,
the statement said. The CBS scheme allows dealers to swap the perpetual bonds
they hold for central bank bills, which will boost market demand for perpetual
bonds.
LIQUIDITY: The PBOC skipped open market operations (OMOs) for a 14th day,
leaving liquidity unchanged, according to Wind Information. Liquidity in the
banking system is reasonable and ample, the PBOC said.
RATES: The 7-day weighted average interbank repo rate for depository
institutions (DR007) rose to 2.6273% from Thursday's close of 2.5391%, Wind
Information showed. The overnight repo average increased to 2.5967% from
Thursday's 2.4948%.
BONDS: The yield on 10-year China Government Bond was last at 3.0200%, down
from the close of 3.0450% on Thursday, according to Wind Information.
STOCKS: The Shanghai Composite Index decreased 0.71% to 2,774.75. Hong
Kong's Hang Seng Index fell 0.69% to 25,939.30.
FROM THE PRESS: China should continue to liberalize its exchange rate while
strengthening the monitoring of the FX market to prevent excessive and abnormal
currency fluctuations, the Economic Daily reported citing Guan Tao, a former
director of the International Payments Department at the State Administration of
Foreign Exchange. Market players should be better adapted and tolerant of
two-way fluctuations in the yuan, and focus on economic fundamentals, Guan was
cited as saying. Radical policies and erratic behaviours from the U.S. and
frequent verbal interventions from that country had created uncertainty and
increased volatility in global markets, Guan said according to the daily.
China's CPI growth is likely to remain below 3% this year without any
inflationary pressure, the China Securities Journal said in a front-page
commentary. Keeping prices stable is an important focus of policymakers, the
newspaper said, noting that the government had repeatedly stressed that it would
ensure the supply of daily necessities such as fruits, vegetables, meat and
eggs. Food price gains are unsustainable, the newspaper added.
--MNI Beijing Bureau; +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: wanxia.lin@marketnews.com
--MNI Beijing Bureau; +86 10 8532 5998; email: william.bi@mni-news.com
[TOPICS: M$A$$$,M$Q$$$,MBQ$$$]
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.