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of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Free AccessMNI POLITICAL RISK - Thune Defends Two-Step 2025 Agenda
MNI US MARKETS ANALYSIS - EUR Steadies Ahead of ECB
MNI China Daily Summary: Friday, June 29
TOP NEWS: The Chinese authorities appear to be showing concern over a
further collapse in the yuan, with Shanghai Securities reporting today that
China will remove restrictions on foreign investment in 22 sectors, starting
from July 28, 2018. This move may aim to appease the US ahead of potential
tariff increases as well as attract capital into the country amid an
increasingly vulnerable external position.
TOP NEWS: Accusations of China stealing intellectual property and forcing
foreign companies to transfer technology are groundless, said Wang Shouwen,
deputy head of the Ministry of Commerce. Wang iterated China's support for
multilateral trade systems and disagreed that China's lack of IP protection led
to trade disputes with trading partners such as the U.S.
YUAN: USDCNH has come off its highs as a combination of rising Chinese
stocks and broad-based dollar weakness has given the yuan some relief. With the
pair very overbought and signs of bearish RSI divergence in play, some the
relief rally in the yuan may have further to go.
LIQUIDITY: The People's Bank of China (PBOC) injected CNY80 billion via its
7-day reverse on Friday, resulting in a net drain of CNY20 billion as a total of
CNY100 billion reverse repos matured today, according to a statement on the PBOC
website. The PBOC has drained a net of CNY370 billion via its reverse repos this
week. CFETS-ICAP's money-market sentiment index closed at 33 on Thursday, down
from 34 on Wednesday.
MONEY MARKET RATES: Benchmark 7-day deposit repo average rose to 3.0161% on
Friday from 2.8892% on Thursday; Overnight average increased to 2.6639% from
2.1849% on Thursday: Wind Information.
BONDS: The yield on benchmark 10-year China Government Bond was last at
3.1500%, down from the previous close of 3.2000%, according to Wind Information.
STOCKS: After falling to two-year lows on Thursday, shares in Shanghai
rebounded significantly after China eased foreign investment limits. Shanghai
Composite Index closed 2.17% higher at 2847.42, making a biggest gain within the
year. Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index rose 1.47% to 28915.69.
FROM THE PRESS: The People's Bank of China (PBOC) will maintain its neutral
and prudent monetary policy, keeping liquidity at a reasonable and sufficient
level, said a statement from the PBOC's monetary policy committee, reported by
Financial News, a newspaper of the PBOC. The PBOC promises to closely monitor
both domestic and international economic trends, enhance its forecasting
capability and fine-tune its policies, noted the newspaper. Domestic demand is
becoming the main driving force of China's economy, while the country's
dependence on foreign trade has significantly weakened, said the newspaper.
China will use multiple monetary policy tools to control the pace and intensity
of structured deleveraging.
Chinese Premier Li Keqiang called for deepening administrative reform,
optimization of government service and greater government efficiency to bolster
China's economy, reported by People's Daily. Local governments should decrease
direct allocation of resources and intervention in market activities as much as
possible, Li stressed. China will significantly cut the time for opening an
enterprise, obtaining construction project approval and customs clearance within
five years to boost the vitality of market, Li added.
China will remove restrictions on foreign investment in 22 sectors,
especially in the service sector, infrastructure and automobile manufacturing,
starting from July 28, 2018, according to a joint statement of ministry of
commerce (MOFCOM) and National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC),
reported by Shanghai Securities. All restrictions on foreign equity limits in
the financial sector will be removed by 2021, noted the newspaper. China will
also widen market access to agricultural products and energy resources. These
major opening-up measures will attract more foreign investment, promote
competition and inject vitality to the market, said an anonymous manager of
NDRC, according to the newspaper.
CHINA MONEY WEEK: Sell China has been a major theme in global markets over
recent weeks, with USDCNH rising almost 4% from over the past two weeks since we
turned bearish on the yuan and local stocks down 5-10%, depending on the index.
Following such steep losses, and with sentiment turning increasingly bearish on
both stocks and the yuan, the recent bounce looks like it may have legs.
In the case of Chinese financials, which dominate the Hang Seng and the
Hang Seng China Enterprises Index, the recent sell-off has seen valuations
improve further, with the HSCEI now offering a 4.4% dividend yield -- among the
highest of any major market globally. The index has also fallen back below book
value (currently at 0.96) and trades at a P/E ratio of just 8.4.
--RIGHT NOISES
There has been some positive news out of China this week which should
provide some fundamental support to Chinese assets. As MNI noted Friday in its
Press Digest, China will remove restrictions on foreign investment in 22
sectors, especially in the service sector, infrastructure and automobile
manufacturing, starting from July 28, 2018, according to a joint statement
MOFCOM and NDRC. Furthermore, all restrictions on foreign equity limits in the
financial sector will be removed by 2021, according to Shanghai Securities.
--STREAMLINING
In addition, Chinese Premier Li Keqiang called for a deepening of
administrative reform, optimization of government services and greater
government efficiency to bolster the economy, reported the People's Daily. Local
governments should decrease direct allocation of resources and intervention in
market activities as much as possible, Li stressed. China will significantly cut
the time for opening an enterprise, obtaining construction project approval and
customs clearance within five years to boost the vitality of market, Li added.
Such reforms are exactly what China's economy needs to help it navigate its
deleveraging cycle and avoid a major hit to growth and the currency. The news
may provide an additional benefit in that it could reduce pressure from the U.S.
if Beijing opens up its market more to foreign investment. While it is early
days yet, Chinese assets are showing some signs of potential following a
dreadful two-week run.
--MNI Beijing Bureau; +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: sherry.qin@marketnews.com
--MNI Singapore Bureau; +65 8233 2326; email: Asia-Editor@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: M$A$$$,M$Q$$$,MBQ$$$]
To read the full story
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Please enter your details below.
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.