Free Trial

MNI China Daily Summary: Thursday, August 9

MNI (London)
     TOP NEWS: China's trade performance showed unexpected resilience in the
early days of the ongoing trade conflict with the U.S, with exports growing at a
robust pace in July. Meanwhile, bolstered by recent tariff cuts on consumer
goods and autos, imports surged at the start of Q3. The trade surplus with the
U.S., still China's largest export market, narrowed slightly to $28.09 billion
from a record of $28.93 billion in June.
     DATA: The National Bureau of Statistics released China's July CPI and PPI
data today. CPI rose 0.3% m/m and 2.1% y/y in July, above the median projection
of 1.9% y/y taken from MNI's poll. PPI, meanwhile, registered at 4.6% y/y in
July, slowing slightly from 4.7% in June, but coming in higher than the median
estimate of 4.4% in MNI's survey.
     LIQUIDITY: The People's Bank of China (PBOC) skipped open market operations
on Thursday, explaining that a high level of liquidity can offset the impacts of
bond issuances and tax payments. No reverse repos matured today. CFETS-ICAP's
money-market sentiment index closed at 33 on Wednesday, up from 30 on Tuesday.
     MONEY MARKET RATES: The benchmark 7-day deposit repo average rose to
2.3559% on Thursday from 2.2480% on Wednesday; the overnight average increased
to 1.6168% from 1.4039% on Wednesday: Wind Information.
     YUAN: The yuan strengthened to 6.8297 against the U.S. dollar on Thursday
from yesterday's 6.8316 closing, despite today's weaker fixing. The PBOC set the
yuan central parity rate at 6.8317, weaker than Wednesday's 6.8313. USDCNH has
edged lower today in line with the recovery in rates and stocks. The pair has
broken below the steep uptrend in place since the July 10 lows and needs to fall
below the 21-DMA at 6.7945 to suggest a bearish reversal pattern is underway.
     BONDS: The yield on the benchmark 10-year China Government Bond was last at
3.5450%, up from the previous close of 3.5000%, according to Wind Information.
     STOCKS: Shares rebounded solidly in Shanghai, led by electronics,
communications and computer stocks. The Shanghai Composite Index closed 1.83%
higher at 2,794.38, having risen above the 2800-level at one point in the
afternoon. Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index rose 0.81% to 28,589.92.
     FROM THE PRESS: China's National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC)
may boost the issuance of special local government bonds and enhance policies to
support infrastructure projects that can generate cash flow, Shanghai Securities
News said, citing Ye Jitao, a specialist on public-private partnerships by the
NDRC and the finance ministry. China may implement policies to establish
long-term financing mechanisms for infrastructure to help to stabilise
investment, the paper said, citing an unidentified source involved in recent
studies. The new policies may encourage private funds to participate in PPP
programmes in some industries that need capital, the newspaper said, citing Ye.
     China's decision to impose retaliatory tariffs on U.S. goods at noon on
August 23 -- a departure from its usual practice of implementing such measures
at midnight -- is a sign of its determination to defend itself amid the ongoing
trade spat, the 21st Century Business Herald reported, citing Tu Xinquan,
director of the China Institute for WTO Studies. The new tariffs exclude crude
oil, as China needs to import more of this, the newspaper said, citing Bai Ming,
deputy director of the International Market Research Institute of the Ministry
of Commerce (MOFCOM). New tariffs on automobile imports are expected to be
especially effective, by having a much greater impact on the U.S. than on China,
the newspaper cited Bai as saying.
     Debt-equity swap programmes will be a key approach used for structural
deleveraging, China Securities Journal reported, following yesterday's
publication of a joint notice from various government departments. China will
provide policy support for capital market operations such as IPOs, private
placements and major asset restructuring, the newspaper said. China will also
use monetary policy tools such as targeted required reserve ratio cuts to
provide long-term financial support for debt conversion programmes, the
newspaper added.
--MNI Beijing Bureau; +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: sherry.qin@marketnews.com
--MNI London Bureau; +44 207-862-7489; email: ukeditorial@marketnews.com
--MNI London Bureau; tel: +44 203-586-2225; email: les.commons@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: M$A$$$,M$Q$$$,MBQ$$$]
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.