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Free AccessMNI China Daily Summary: Thursday, March 29
TOP NEWS: China is open to negotiations with the U.S. regarding recent
trade conflicts, but it will not accept any negotiation based on unilateralist
demands, according to China's Ministry of Commerce. Gao Feng, spokesman for the
ministry, said at a press briefing on Thursday that China only welcomes
constructive negotiation. When asked if China would expand its retaliation list
consisting of products imported from the U.S., Gao said China would take any
necessary actions, and that any measure is possible when defending the interests
of China and its people.
POLICY: China's economy will contract modestly in the second quarter of
2018 on weaker investment and sluggish exports, the Bank of China, one of the
biggest four state-owned banks, told reporters in a press conference on the
economic and financial outlook Wednesday. The continued financial deleveraging
and ongoing risk prevention campaign will also bring further uncertainty to the
economic growth.
ANALYSIS: China's financial deleveraging campaign is only halfway complete
and the new asset management regulation rules will reveal the direction in which
the second half will go. From the micro to macro level, there are different
measures to gauge financial leverage, including leverage ratio in the bond
market, the banking sector, and so on. What direction the central government
will choose will be signalled in the regulation rules on asset management
products, providing a clearer signal to the market.
LIQUIDITY: The PBOC skipped OMOs on Thursday for the fifth consecutive
trading day, stating that the increasing fiscal expenditure towards month-end
would absorb the impact of maturing reverse repo and keep liquidity conditions
at a "reasonable and stable" level. This resulted in a net drain of CNY40
billion after the maturity of the same amount of reverse repos. CFETS-ICAP's
money-market sentiment index closed at 42 on Wednesday, slightly lower than 43
on Tuesday.
MONEY MARKET RATES: The average 7-day repo rose to 2.9213% from 2.9118% on
Thursday, after the PBOC drained a net CNY40 billion via its open-market
operations. The overnight repo average dropped to 2.5587% from Wednesday's
2.5710%.
YUAN: The yuan gained against the U.S. dollar despite the PBOC setting a
weaker daily fixing. The yuan rose 0.03% to 6.2864 against the U.S. unit,
compared with the official closing price of 6.2884 yesterday. The People's Bank
of China set the yuan central parity rate vs the U.S. dollar at 6.3046 on
Thursday, weaker than Wednesday's 6.2785. The central bank has set the fixing
weaker for the first time after three trading days of gains, including a notable
jump on Tuesday.
BONDS: The yield on benchmark 10-year China Government Bond was last at
3.7400%, up from the previous close of 3.7200%, according to Wind Information.
STOCKS: Shares were up in Shanghai, led by property companies, with Rongan
Property up by the daily limit of 10%. The benchmark Shanghai Composite Index
closed 1.22% higher at 3,160.53. Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index rose 0.27% to
30,102.84.
FROM THE PRESS: China's financial sector is not open enough and the country
must focus on further reforming and opening up the sector, stressed Xu Zhong,
director of the research bureau at the PBOC, in his article published in the
Economic Daily. China's financial opening up should not be abrupt and without
preparation, but should be a steady and orderly process based on enhancing
financial regulation and the transparency of the financial market, wrote Xu.
Additionally, foreign financial institutions' share in the Chinese market is not
high; and the bond market also needs to be more open to foreign counterparts.
China's state-owned enterprises have been focused on deleveraging through
debt-equity swap and equity financing, reported China Securities Journal. The
State-Owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission (SOSAC) has drawn a
warning line of debt/asset ratios for industry SOEs, non-industry SOEs and
technology SOEs at 65%, 70% and 60%, respectively. SOSAC also plans to lower the
average debt/asset ratio of SOEs by 2 percentage points by 2020, and it will aim
to have listed more than 70% assets of SOEs on stock exchanges before then, the
report said.
There will be a total of CNY851.2 puttable bonds whose put options can be
exercised this year, which might add pressure on the bond market, reported
Shanghai Securities Journal. The ratio of puttable bonds whose put option had
been exercised, to the amount of puttable bonds whose put option could be
exercised in 2017 was 30.93%, and analysts estimate this ratio to come to around
30%-40% in 2018, the report said. There will be a total of CNY186.1 puttable
bonds in the property sector whose options can be exercised in 2018, mainly
during August to December, the report said.
--MNI London Bureau; tel: +44 203-586-2225; email: les.commons@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: M$A$$$,M$Q$$$,MBQ$$$]
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.