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Free AccessMNI US MARKETS ANALYSIS - AUD/JPY Finds Bottom on China News
MNI US OPEN - PBOC Makes First Major Policy Tweak Since 2011
MNI China Daily Summary: Thursday, March 5
BEIJING (MNI) - EXCLUSIVE: China should allow its budget deficit to rise
and ease controls on borrowing helping to unleash an investment-driven effort to
kickstart an economy stalled by the coronavirus outbreak, a counsellor at the
State Council said in an interview with MNI. "The government may have not any
choice but to act," given the epidemic, together with the sluggish global
economy and trade frictions with the U.S., said Tang Min, an economist at the
official advisory body inside Premier Li Keqiang's cabinet.
EXCLUSIVE: The People's Bank of China (PBOC) should consider further
cutting benchmark rates including the deposit rate and take targeted measures to
extend credit to struggling small businesses if economic situation further
deteriorates, an advisor to the State Council told MNI. Rate cuts, particularly
in the deposit rate, which has not changed since 2015, may further motivate
banks to expand credit as production and consumption recover, Tang Min, an
economist in Premier Li Keqiang's cabinet said in an interview, stressing that
he was expressing his personal opinion. He acknowledged that the efficacy of a
lower deposit rate may be limited, as wealth management products offering higher
rates have attracted a growing portion of the deposit market.
EXCLUSIVE: China could consider broader coordination with Japan and South
Korea to safeguard supply chains disrupted by the coronavirus outbreak, Wei
Jianguo, former vice minister of commerce, told MNI in an interview on
Wednesday. "The three countries could strengthen communication on their
production chains, supply chains, and consumer markets, as well as share
information about epidemic control," said Wei, now vice chairman of the China
Center for International Economic Exchanges.
POLICY: The spread of the coronavirus into Japan and South Korea is hitting
the operations of Chinese exporters, disrupting the imports of semi-finished
goods and impacting the supply chain, said Li Xingqian, director of Foreign
Trade at the Ministry of Commerce. The government will look to safeguard
production and supply chains to offset any negative impacts from the spread of
the virus overseas, Li said at a briefing today.
POLICY: China's Ministry of Finance has increased transfer payments to
local governments to ease strains on their finance from tax cuts and the
coronavirus epidemic, Vice Minister Xu Hongcai said today. Spending should
prioritize the livelihood of people, government operations and civil employee
payrolls, Xu said.
LIQUIDITY: The PBOC skipped open market operations for the 13th day,
leaving liquidity unchanged, according to Wind Information. Liquidity in the
banking system is reasonable and ample, PBOC said on its website.
RATES: The seven-day weighted average interbank repo rate for depository
institutions (DR007) rose to 1.8906% from Wednesday's close 1.8844%, data by
Wind Information showed. The overnight repo average decreased to 1.4447% from
the previous 1.4578%.
YUAN: The currency weakened to 6.9425 against the dollar from Wednesday's
6.9331 close. PBOC set the dollar-yuan central parity rate lower for a fourth
trading day at 6.9403, compared with 6.9514 on Wednesday, the strongest since
Feb. 4, 2020.
BONDS: The yield on 10-year China Government Bonds was last at 2.7200%, up
from Wednesday's close of 2.7125%, according to Wind Information.
STOCKS: The Shanghai Composite Index rallied 1.99% to 3,071.68, the highest
in almost two weeks as fewer new virus cases were reported outside epicentre
Hubei province. Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index gained 2.08% to 26,767.87.
FROM THE PRESS: China should expand domestic demand and develop new areas
of consumption emerged since the epidemic, Xinhua News Agency reported citing
the Standing Committee of the Politburo of the Chinese Communist Party late
Wednesday. Local authorities should increase land, energy and funds to
accelerate major projects, including 5G network and data centres, Xinhua said.
The PBOC should weigh the impact of easing already implemented and not
right away follow the interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve, according to a
commentary published by the Securities Times. The central bank has already
tapped monetary policies in early February including cutting policy rates,
conducting repos and providing relending, according to the commentary.
Infrastructure investment in China may have slowed to around 3% y/y in the
first two months, the Securities Daily reported citing Wang Qing, chief
macroeconomic analyst at credit rating agency Dongfang Jincheng. Local
authorities are beginning with traditional infrastructure projects such as
energy, transportation and water conservancy, before promoting new
infrastructures such as the 5G network, Wang was reported as saying. New
infrastructure investment could reach CNY1 trillion in 2020, with CNY200-300
billion in 5G base stations, the newspaper said citing Wang.
--MNI Beijing Bureau; +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: wanxia.lin@marketnews.com
--MNI Beijing Bureau; +86 10 8532 5998; email: william.bi@mni-news.com
[TOPICS: M$A$$$,M$Q$$$,MBQ$$$]
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.