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Free AccessMNI EUROPEAN MARKETS ANALYSIS: China Equities Lower Post CEWC
MNI EUROPEAN OPEN: Sharp Fall In China Bond Yields Continues
MNI China Daily Summary: Tuesday, September 12
TOP NEWS: The People's Bank of China (PBOC) has effectively eliminated the
foreign-exchange risk provision of currency forward contracts. The move by the
PBOC to drop the risk provision apparently pointed to its worries over the
suddenly strengthening yuan. Sun Guofeng, director general of the People's Bank
of China's research institute, said in an email to MNI on Monday that the PBOC's
move was intended to strengthen the price-discovery mechanism in the forex
market. Sun also said the yuan exchange rate is moving toward an even balance,
and that market expectations are becoming more rational.
DATA: China's fiscal revenues rose in August although at a slower pace than
in July, with tax revenues seeing significant growth due to the stable
performance of the economy and rising prices, according to data released by the
Ministry of Finance on Monday. The MOF said fiscal revenues rose 7.2%
year-on-year to CNY1.07 trillion in August, compared with 11.1% growth in July
and a 1.7% increase last August. The MOF attributed the changes mainly to a
higher comparison base in the same period of last year in the non-tax sector and
rising commodity prices.
DATA: Vehicles sales in China jumped in August compared with July but
showed a slowdown on an annualized basis, with the performance of the passenger
car sector somewhat sluggish, the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers
(CAAM) said on its website Monday. On a month-on-month basis, total vehicle
sales, comprising both passenger cars and commercial vehicles, jumped 10.89% to
2.19 million units, compared with a decrease of 9.24% in July, according to
CAAM. On an annualized basis, total vehicle sales rose 5.27%, compared with
6.15% growth in July.
RATES: Money market rates were mixed on Tuesday after the PBOC left
liquidity unchanged via its open-market operations. The seven-day repo average
was last at 2.8656%, down from Monday's average of 2.8705%. The overnight repo
average was at 2.6220% compared with Monday's 2.6182%.
YUAN: The yuan fell against the U.S. dollar Tuesday after the People's Bank
of China set a weaker daily fixing. The yuan was last at 6.5331 against the U.S.
unit, dropping 0.14% compared with the official closing price of 6.5239 on
Monday. The People's Bank of China set the yuan central parity rate against the
U.S. dollar at 6.5277 Tuesday, weaker than Monday's 6.4997.
BONDS: The yield on benchmark 10-year China government bonds was last at
3.5633%, down from the previous close of 3.5890%, according to Wind, a financial
data provider.
STOCKS: Stocks rose, led higher by the motorcycle manufacturing and
wine-making sectors. The benchmark Shanghai Composite Index closed up 0.09% at
3,379.49. Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index was 0.02% higher at 27,961.29.
FROM THE PRESS: Experts think overall bad-loan pressure on listed banks has
fallen significantly and asset quality of some has increasingly improved, the
China Securities Journal reported Tuesday. According to the China Banking
Regulatory Commission, outstanding bad loans at commercial banks were CNY1.64
trillion in the second quarter and the bad-loan rate was 1.74% -- level with the
quarter before. The newspaper said that asset quality of credit in general was
stable but that divergence exists. The report quoted analysts as saying that
adjustments of industrial structures in the first half led to a more stable
bad-loan rate for listed banks, but that bad-loan pressure still exists. New
loans were mainly low-risk mortgages and in the infrastructure and service
sectors -- showing that banks are generally cautious and their risk preference
isn't high. (China Securities Journal)
The emergence of banking as the country's most profitable sector may not be
a good thing, the Securities Times said in a commentary on Tuesday. Six banks --
Industrial & Commercial Bank of China, China Construction Bank, Agricultural
Bank of China, Bank of China, Bank of Communications, and China Development Bank
-- are among the top 10 most profitable companies in the country. Their total
profits exceeded CNY1 trillion -- or 36.6% of total profits for the top 500
companies. A total of 245 manufacturers reported combined net profits of
CNY549.31 billion -- or 19.53% of the total profits of the top 500. This
disobeys rules of economic development and causes frustration and worries that
banks are making too much money, the commentary said. Bank profits are eroding
profits in the real economy -- especially manufacturing, it said. Banks
increasingly allocate capital not to the real economy but to the financial
sector, which can cause asset bubbles and more financial risks. Therefore, the
central government needs to impose macroeconomic controls such as regulating
interest rates for loans, service fees and inappropriate wealth management
businesses, the commentary said. (The Securities Times)
Yuan management should maintain methods which have proved effective, the
Economic Information Daily, a newspaper under the official Xinhua News Agency,
said in a front-page commentary on Tuesday. Recent appreciation of the yuan was
a result of a weakening of the dollar, a strong China economy and the addition
of countercyclical factors, the commentary said. As yuan depreciation pressures
lessened, the People's Bank of China decided to withdraw some temporary measures
aimed at specific problems -- and its decision to eliminate the foreign-exchange
risk provision of currency forward contracts is one of them, the newspaper said.
However, such action to decrease the effect of policies on the yuan doesn't mean
giving up on their influence. As the yuan strengthens, the market may ask for
free fluctuation of the currency, but foreign-exchange policies should be
appropriate and stable, the commentary said. (Economic Information Daily)
Financial technology regulations must be strengthened as a result of risks,
Sun Guofeng, the head of the People's Bank of China's financial research
department, said in an exclusive interview with the bank-managed Financial News.
Recent central bank action against coin offerings is necessary and timely but
doesn't mean China is trying to stop the development of blockchain, which is a
good technology, Sun said. The biggest problem with China's financial technology
sector is that it lacks regulation, Sun said. (Financial News)
China and all other countries should take steps to guarantee free trade
with support from multilateral organizations, Premier Li Keqiang said at a press
conference during the 1+6 Roundtable Dialogue on Tuesday in Beijing, according
to a report in Wallstreetcn. China's economy will maintain stable and upward
momentum, continuing the trend shown in the first half of the year, Li said,
adding that the effects of economic structural transformation have started to
show, with the contribution from consumption helping to lift the economy. China
will stabilize its macroeconomic policy and further carry out active fiscal
policies and prudent monetary policies, Li added. China's leverage ratio has
also dropped and government debts are under control, Li said, adding that China
will not stimulate exports by devaluing its currency. (Wallstreetcn)
--MNI Beijing Bureau; +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: iris.ouyang@marketnews.com
--MNI Beijing Bureau; +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: vince.morkri@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: M$A$$$,M$Q$$$,MBQ$$$]
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.