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Free AccessMNI US OPEN - PBOC Makes First Major Policy Tweak Since 2011
MNI BRIEF: China Passenger Car Sales Up In November Y/Y
MNI China Daily Summary: Wednesday, April 10
POLICY: China's economy still faces headwinds from weak property and
automobile sectors along with slowing global demand, an official advisor for a
government-backed think tank told MNI in an interview, adding that he expected
weak exports to weigh on imports as well. Despite PMI data showing signs of a
pick-up, growth in Q1 will be soft, impacted by the follow-through from a weak
2018, said Niu Li, deputy director of the Economic Forecasting Department at the
National Information Center, affiliated to the National Development and Reform
Commission. Niu is concerned the economy will remain weak into Q2, with car
sales struggling, affecting output in associated industries, and property
investment also expected to remain low as regulations weigh on sentiment.
LIQUIDITY: The People's Bank of China (PBOC) skipped open market operations
for the 15th straight trading day, leaving liquidity unchanged as no reverse
repos matured, according to Wind Information. Total liquidity in the banking
system remains at a relatively high level, according to the PBOC.
RATE: The 7-day weighted average interbank repo rate for depository
institutions (DR007) rose to 2.5000% from Tuesday's close of 2.3869%, Wind
Information showed. The overnight repo average increased to 2.2200% from
Tuesday's 1.8013%.
YUAN: The Chinese currency weakened to 6.7166 against the dollar from
Tuesday's close of 6.7125. The PBOC set the dollar-yuan central parity rate at
6.7110 today, compared with 6.7142 on Tuesday.
BONDS: The yield on the benchmark 10-year China Government Bond was last at
3.32%, up 2.5 bps from Tuesday's close, according to brokers.
STOCKS: The benchmark Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.07% to 3,241.93. Hong
Kong's Hang Seng Index fell 0.13% to 30,119.56.
FROM THE PRESS: Some local banking regulators are pushing large banks to
tighten the recognition of NPLs from the current 90 days to just 60 days, China
Securities Journal reported. Regulators are looking to improve banks' asset
quality, but the move would pressure bank profitability in the short-term as
they are likely to increase their reserves, the newspaper reported citing
Everbright Securities chief banking analysts Wang Yifeng.
China's policymakers may have less room to relax monetary policy given
rising consumer prices, while the recovering property market inflates asset
prices, Shen Jianguang, chief economist at JD Finance, wrote in a report. While
the economy may have bottomed out, a worldwide economic slowdown limits exports
and surging infrastructure investment undermines effort to contain local
government debt, Shen added.
Infrastructure investment growth is expected to rebound to around 10%-15%
this year, the Securities Daily reported citing Wang Qing, chief macroeconomic
analyst at credit-rating agency Dongfang Jincheng. This could add one percentage
point to GDP growth, 0.2 percentage point more than in 2018, Wang was cited as
saying.
Banks are paying higher rates on deposit accounts to help pull in funds
from the public, the Economic Daily said in a commentary. Individuals will
benefit, but bank operating costs will rise, with medium and small banks in
particular under pressure, the paper said.
--MNI Beijing Bureau; +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: wanxia.lin@marketnews.com
--MNI Beijing Bureau; +86 10 8532 5998; email: william.bi@mni-news.com
[TOPICS: M$A$$$,M$Q$$$,MBQ$$$]
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.