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Free AccessMNI BRIEF: China November PMI Rises Further Above 50
MNI US Macro Weekly: Politics To The Fore
MNI China Daily Summary: Wednesday, January 3
TOP NEWS: Whether the yuan will continue to strengthen against the U.S.
dollar as it approaches the recent highs seen last September will be determined
by signals from the People's Bank of China, the Securities Times said in a
front-page commentary Wednesday. The newspaper warned that a continued rise of
the yuan could pose a risk to Chinese economic growth by hurting exports, noting
that growth in 2017 was buoyed by strong overseas demand. An excessive rise in
the yuan would also stimulate renewed appreciation speculation in the foreign
exchange market, the commentary argued. In September, the PBOC cut the reserve
requirement for trading foreign currency forwards to zero from 20%, which was
seen at the time as an attempt to rein in a further strengthening of the yuan.
The market will wait and see whether the PBOC will announce another such measure
in the period ahead, the newspaper said. (Securities Times)
TOP NEWS: The People's Bank of China skipped open-market operations on
Wednesday, saying the liquidity level in the banking system is at a "relatively
high" level. This resulted in a net drain of CNY90 billion for the day, as the
same amount of reverse repos matured on Wednesday. It was the eighth consecutive
trading day the PBOC has skipped open-market operations.
RATES: Money market rates were lower. The seven-day repo average was last
at 2.7273%, compared with Tuesday's average of 2.7655%. The overnight repo
average was at 2.5187%, compared with Tuesday's 2.5891%.
YUAN: The yuan fell against the U.S. dollar even though the People's Bank
of China set the fixing rate stronger for the day. The yuan was last at 6.5103
against the U.S. unit, compared with the official closing price of 6.4967 on
Tuesday. The People's Bank of China set the yuan central parity rate against the
U.S. dollar at 6.4920, stronger than Tuesday's 6.5079. The PBOC has set the
fixing stronger for nine of the past 11 trading days, with the yuan rising 1.89%
over that period. Today's fixing was the strongest since May 3, 2016.
BONDS: The yield on benchmark 10-year China government bonds was last at
3.9100%, compared with the previous close of 3.9000%.
STOCKS: Stocks were up, led higher by the air freight and hospitality
sectors. The benchmark Shanghai Composite Index closed up 0.62% at 3,369.11.
Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index was 0.10% higher at 30,545.48.
FROM THE PRESS: The Chinese central government will strengthen supervision
of local governments to ensure they obey their quota limits for debt issuance
and better manage their budgets, the People's Daily, the official Communist
Party newspaper, reported Wednesday, citing an unidentified official at the
Ministry of Finance. The ministry recently made public illegal financing and
debt guarantee activities of local municipalities and counties in Jiangsu and
Guizhou, two of China's most indebted provinces, the newspaper noted. Jiangsu
province punished 57 people responsible and Guizhou punished 14, and all illegal
activities have been corrected, the ministry told the newspaper. Local officials
will be held accountable for their financing decisions on behalf of the area
under their administration, the MOF official stressed, urging local governments
to speed up their debt-to-bond swaps. (People's Daily)
China should avoid excessively tight controls on the property sector and
make preparations to prevent large fluctuations in that market, Zhou Shinian,
assistant researcher of the economic forecast department at the State
Information Center, a government think tank under the National Development and
Reform Commission, wrote in an article published by the China Securities Journal
on Wednesday. The biggest worry is increasing pressure on property company
financing, which could intensify the risks to their debt repayment, Zhou said.
In addition, the rapid increase in the supply of land for affordable rental
housing could strengthen expectations that prices of houses sold by developers
will rise because the supply of land for such houses will decrease, he said.
Zhou stressed the need to diversify financing options for property companies to
include financial trusts, real estate investment trusts, investment funds, and
asset management plans. Zhou also called for a long-term plan for management of
the property sector, in particular calling for increasing the cost of holding
multiple properties by finally implementing the long-discussed property tax on
residential properties. (China Securities Journal)
The State Bank of Pakistan, the country's central bank, announced that
Pakistani trade and financial transactions with China can now be denominated in
yuan, the Associated Press reported Wednesday. Pakistan aims to increase trade
and economic ties with China and rein in capital outflows by repatriating
profits, according to AP. The central bank said facilities for letters of
credit, transaction clearance and financing denominated in the yuan have been
put in place, AP reported. (Associated Press)
--MNI Beijing Bureau; +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: iris.ouyang@marketnews.com
--MNI Beijing Bureau; +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: vince.morkri@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: M$A$$$,M$Q$$$,MBQ$$$]
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.