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Free AccessMNI CHINA MONEY WEEK: Early Signs Of Life In Chinese Assets
--Indications Of A Tradeable Bounce After Recent Stocks Slide
By Stuart Allsopp
SINGAPORE (MNI) - Sell China has been a major theme in global markets over
recent weeks, with USDCNH rising almost 4% from over the past two weeks since we
turned bearish on the yuan and local stocks down 5-10%, depending on the index.
Following such steep losses, and with sentiment turning increasingly bearish on
both stocks and the yuan, the recent bounce looks like it may have legs.
In the case of Chinese financials, which dominate the Hang Seng and the
Hang Seng China Enterprises Index, the recent sell-off has seen valuations
improve further, with the HSCEI now offering a 4.4% dividend yield -- among the
highest of any major market globally. The index has also fallen back below book
value (currently at 0.96) and trades at a P/E ratio of just 8.4.
--RIGHT NOISES
There has been some positive news out of China this week which should
provide some fundamental support to Chinese assets. As MNI noted Friday in its
Press Digest, China will remove restrictions on foreign investment in 22
sectors, especially in the service sector, infrastructure and automobile
manufacturing, starting from July 28, 2018, according to a joint statement
MOFCOM and NDRC. Furthermore, all restrictions on foreign equity limits in the
financial sector will be removed by 2021, according to Shanghai Securities.
--STREAMLINING
In addition, Chinese Premier Li Keqiang called for a deepening of
administrative reform, optimization of government services and greater
government efficiency to bolster the economy, reported the People's Daily. Local
governments should decrease direct allocation of resources and intervention in
market activities as much as possible, Li stressed. China will significantly cut
the time for opening an enterprise, obtaining construction project approval and
customs clearance within five years to boost the vitality of market, Li added.
Such reforms are exactly what China's economy needs to help it navigate its
deleveraging cycle and avoid a major hit to growth and the currency. The news
may provide an additional benefit in that it could reduce pressure from the U.S.
if Beijing opens up its market more to foreign investment. While it is early
days yet, Chinese assets are showing some signs of potential following a
dreadful two-week run.
--MNI Singapore Bureau; +65 8233 2326; email: Asia-Editor@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: M$A$$$,M$Q$$$,MC$$$$,MI$$$$,MX$$$$,MGQ$$$]
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.