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Free AccessMNI: China Nov Forex Sales Rise On Weakened Yuan Outlook
BEIJING (MNI) - Chinese banks sold more foreign exchange to their customers
in November on yuan depreciation expectations and capital outflow pressures,
data released Monday by the State Administration of Foreign Exchange (SAFE)
show.
Banks sold a net CNY31.2 billion worth of foreign exchange to clients in
November, compared with a net CNY50.1 billion purchase in October, SAFE said. It
was the first net sales after two consecutive months of net purchases, but it
was significantly lower than the net CNY186.1 billion purchase seen in November
2016.
The willingness of banks' clients to purchase forex rose, while the
willingness to sell forex shrunk, as the yuan exchange rate fluctuated in a
range of 6.5730 to 6.6525 against the greenback.
"6.60 [against the U.S. dollar] is an important threshold. We can see our
clients increase forex purchases when the yuan exchange rate rises above the
level," meaning the yuan is weakening, a forex trader in Shanghai told MNI.
Liu Jian, a forex analyst at Bank of Communication, told MNI that "the yuan
exchange rate showed a slight depreciation in most of the trading days for the
month, which dragged down the willingness of banks' clients to sell forex."
Foreign-exchange purchases by bank clients accounted for 62.7% of the total
foreign-exchange expenses of banks, up 0.8 percentage point from October but
down 9.5 percentage points compared with last November, SAFE noted.
Forex sales by bank clients comprised 61.0% of total foreign-exchange
income of banks, down from 62.9% in October, SAFE said.
"The banks purchased a net $15.7 billion from their clients in terms of
goods trade in November, an increase of 29% year-on-year. The banks' forex
purchases involving foreign direct investment accelerated, compared to the same
period last year," SAFE said in a statement on its website.
Foreign-exchange purchases by individuals declined 44% in November compared
with the same period last year, remaining at their same low level of recent
years, the regulator said.
For the January to November period, banks sold a net CNY520.7 billion in
forex to clients, compared with CNY489.4 billion in the January-October period.
"Banks sold net forex to their clients in forward forex transaction for
three consecutive months, indicating that capital outflow pressure is
increasing," Liu said.
Total net forex sales by Chinese banks in November totaled CNY49.7 billion,
compared with a net purchase of CNY18.3 billion in October.
Forex supply and demand maintained a basic balance, SAFE said.
Foreign-exchange reserves surged $10.1 billion in November to $3.12 trillion,
the 10th consecutive monthly increase, according to SAFE.
"Cross-border capital flows and the yuan exchange rate would be pressured
slightly as the Trump government is expected to cut taxes [in the United
States], and because of some seasonal factors, including the [coming] Chinese
New Year holiday," Liu said.
--MNI Beijing Bureau; +86 (10) 8532 5998; email: marissa.wang@marketnews.com
--MNI Beijing Bureau; +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: vince.morkri@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: M$A$$$,M$Q$$$,MT$$$$,MGQ$$$]
To read the full story
Sign up now for free trial access to this content.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.