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MNI China Press Digest Aug 9: Liquidity, Pro-Growth Policy

MNI (Singapore)

MNI summarises the key stories from the Chinese press on Tuesday.

True

The following lists highlights from Chinese press reports on Tuesday:

  • The People's Bank of China may reduce the amount of medium-term liquidity in the banking system during next Monday’s MLF operation, as the continued presence of loose funding conditions in the interbank market has resulted in increased leverage and arbitrage plays, the 21st Century Business Herald reported, citing analysts. In the first week of August, the DR001 rate fell to around 1%, while the DR007 rate fell below 1.3%, with both measures reaching the lowest level observed in 2022, operating clearly below the 7-day reverse repo rate of 2.1%. The substantial deviation of market interest rates from policy rates will weaken the guiding role of policy rates and hinder monetary policy transmission, with the newspaper noting that the central bank is likely to intervene moderately if the DR001 rate falls below 1%, citing Ming Ming, chief economist at CITIC Securities.
  • China is expected to further increase its use of pro-growth policies, with fiscal and monetary policy becoming fully coordinated in the second half of 2022, the Securities Daily reported, citing analysts. Local governments may be allowed to add up to CNY1.55 trillion of special bonds in H222, which would facilitate a continued acceleration of infrastructure investment, the newspaper said, citing Wang Qing, chief analyst of Golden Credit Rating. The People’s Bank of China should keep liquidity reasonably ample amid fiscal expansion, so to prevent market interest rates from rising too quickly, Wang said.
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The following lists highlights from Chinese press reports on Tuesday:

  • The People's Bank of China may reduce the amount of medium-term liquidity in the banking system during next Monday’s MLF operation, as the continued presence of loose funding conditions in the interbank market has resulted in increased leverage and arbitrage plays, the 21st Century Business Herald reported, citing analysts. In the first week of August, the DR001 rate fell to around 1%, while the DR007 rate fell below 1.3%, with both measures reaching the lowest level observed in 2022, operating clearly below the 7-day reverse repo rate of 2.1%. The substantial deviation of market interest rates from policy rates will weaken the guiding role of policy rates and hinder monetary policy transmission, with the newspaper noting that the central bank is likely to intervene moderately if the DR001 rate falls below 1%, citing Ming Ming, chief economist at CITIC Securities.
  • China is expected to further increase its use of pro-growth policies, with fiscal and monetary policy becoming fully coordinated in the second half of 2022, the Securities Daily reported, citing analysts. Local governments may be allowed to add up to CNY1.55 trillion of special bonds in H222, which would facilitate a continued acceleration of infrastructure investment, the newspaper said, citing Wang Qing, chief analyst of Golden Credit Rating. The People’s Bank of China should keep liquidity reasonably ample amid fiscal expansion, so to prevent market interest rates from rising too quickly, Wang said.