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Free AccessMNI DATA ANALYSIS:US 2Q GDP +2.6;1Q GDP Revised Down To +1.2%>
--Core PCE Price Index +0.9% Vs +1.8% 1Q; Y/Y +1.5% 2Q Vs +1.8% 1Q
--Core PCE Price Index Y/Y Rise Smallest Since 4Q 2015 (+1.3%)
By Kevin Kastner
WASHINGTON (MNI) - Second quarter GDP rose 2.6%, slightly less than
the 2.7% pace expected, while first quarter growth was revised down
modestly to a 1.2% pace from 1.4% rate previously reported, data
released Friday by the Bureau of Economic Analysis showed.
The combination of the downward revision to first quarter GDP and
the smaller-than-expected reading for second quarter GDP suggests a
slower start to 2017 that previously seen. Annual revision back to 2014
were included with the data pointed to little change in the recent
growth picture, with 2016 growth revised modestly lower, but 2014 and
2015 GDP growth moved up slightly from their previous estimates.
The core PCE price index rose only 0.9% in the second quarter after
rising a revised 1.8% in the first quarter, the smallest quarterly
increase since 0.9% in the first quarter of 2015.
On a year/year basis, second quarter core PCE prices were up 1.5%
from a year earlier following a 1.8% year/year rise in the first quarter
and a 1.9% year/year gain in the fourth quarter. The year/year rate for
the second quarter was the smallest since the fourth quarter of 2015,
when it was 1.3%.
The overall GDP price index was up 1.0% in the second quarter after
downward revised 2.0 pace of growth for the first quarter.
PCE was up 2.8% in the second quarter after a 1.9% rise in the
first quarter. The acceleration in second quarter PCE was led by
durables PCE, which was up 6.3% after a 0.1% first-quarter decline.
Nondurables PCE was up 3.8% in the second quarter compared with 1.1% in
the first quarter, while services PCE slowed to a 1.9% growth rate from
2.5% in the previous quarter.
The net export gap narrowed to $614.9 billion for the second
quarter from $622.2 billion in the first quarter.
Government spending was up 0.7% in the second quarter after a 0.6%
decline in the first quarter.
Nonresidential fixed investment rose by 5.2% in the second quarter,
down from 7.2% in the first quarter, due in large part to a slowdown in
structures.
Residential fixed investment was down 6.8% in the second quarter,
after a 11.1% gain in the first quarter.
Inventories were down $0.3 billion in the second quarter after a
1.2% gain in the first quarter. When the inventory component is removed,
real final sales were up 2.6% in the second quarter after a 2.7% gain in
the first quarter.
** MNI Washington Bureau: Tel. (202)371-2121 **
[TOPICS: MAUDS$,M$U$$$,MT$$$$]
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Why MNI
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of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.