MNI DATA ANALYSIS: US Wholesale Inventories Rise 1.0% In Aug>

--Aug Wholesale Sales Up 0.8%; Inv/Sales Ratio Unch From 1.26 In July 

--Aug Business Inv Tracking Up 0.5%, Business Sales Up 0.5%

By Shikha Dave and Harrison Clarke

     WASHINGTON (MNI) - August wholesale inventories increased by 1.0%, 

revised upward from the 0.8% reported in the advance estimate, while 

wholesale sales were up 0.8% in the month, data released by the U.S. 

Commerce Department on Wednesday showed. 

     Given that wholesale inventories rose 1.0% and factory inventories 

were already reported down 0.1%, and barring no revision to the 0.7% 

increase in retail inventories, an MNI calculation is expecting an 

increase of 0.5% for business inventories, which will be released on 

October 15.  

     With the addition of the 0.8% increase in wholesale sales to the 

0.1% increase for retail trade sales from last month's advanced sales 

release and the 0.5% increase for factory shipments already reported, an 

MNI calculation predicts that business sales will see a 0.5% increase, 

barring no large revision to retail trade sales data. 

--Y/Y SALES INCREASE

     Despite the increases in inventories and sales, the inventory to 

sales ratio was unchanged in the month. Wholesale inventories and sales 

both rose year over year, but sales rose more than inventories. 

Inventories were up 5.3% year/year, while sales were also up 9.2% from 

August 2017. The ratio is down from the 1.30 ratio seen one year ago due 

to sales growth outpacing inventories over the past year. 

     When excluding the 3.5% rise in auto inventories, inventories would 

have been up 0.7%, according to an MNI calculation. Excluding a 0.2% 

increase in auto sales, sales would have been up 0.9%, also according to 

an MNI calculation. 

     The value of durable inventories rose by 0.9% in the month, led by 

gains in autos, and computer equipment. Nondurables inventories rose 

1.2% in August on gains in farm products and chemicals. 

     Durables goods sales were up 1.3% in the month, on generally higher 

categories. Nondurable goods sales up by 0.5% in August despite mixed 

categories. 

     ** MNI Washington Bureau: 202-371-2121 ** 

[TOPICS: MAUDS$,M$U$$$]