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MNI DATA FORECASTS: UK GDP Data An Early Outpost

(MNI) LONDON

Forecasts for the coming week's main data releases.

True
DateGMT/LocalImpactPeriodFlagCountryReleasePriorConsensus
12/09/20220600/0700**JulUKNon-EU Trade Balance-12.29--GBP (b)
12/09/20220600/0700**JulUKTotal Trade Balance-11.38711.800GBP (b)
12/09/20220600/0700**JulUKVisible Trade Balance-22.847-22.400GBP (b)
12/09/20220600/0700***JulUKIndustrial Production m/m-0.90.2%
12/09/20220600/0700***JulUKIndustrial Production y/y2.31.8%
12/09/20220600/0700***JulUKManufacturing Output m/m-1.60.1%
12/09/20220600/0700***JulUKManufacturing Output y/y1.41.6%
12/09/20220600/0700**JulUKIndex of Services 3m/3m-0.4-0.2%
12/09/20220600/0700**JulUKIndex of Services m/m-0.50.3%
12/09/20220600/0700**JulUKConstruction Output m/m-1.40.5%
12/09/20220600/0700**JulUKConstruction Output y/y4.15.5%
12/09/20220600/0700**JulUKGDP - 3m y/y2.92.7%
12/09/20220600/0700**JulUKGDP - 3m/3m-0.10.1%
12/09/20220600/0700**JulUKGDP - m/m-0.60.3%
12/09/20220800/1000*JulITIndustrial Production m/m-2.10.0%
12/09/20220800/1000*JulITIndustrial Production y/y wda-1.2-0.6%
12/09/20221230/0830*Q2CAHsehold debt/disposable income----%
12/09/20221500/1100**SepUSNY Fed expectations survey----
12/09/20221530/1130*16-SepUSBid to Cover Ratio----
12/09/20221530/1130***SepUSBid to Cover Ratio----
12/09/20221600/1200***15/16USCorn Ending Stocks current year---- (m)
12/09/20221600/1200***15/16USCorn Production current year---- (m)
12/09/20221600/1200***15/16USCorn yield per acre current year----
12/09/20221600/1200***15/16USCotton Ending Stocks current year---- (m)
12/09/20221600/1200***15/16USCotton Production current year---- (m)
12/09/20221600/1200***15/16USSoybeans - Ending Stocks current year---- (m)
12/09/20221600/1200***15/16USSoybeans Production current year---- (m)
12/09/20221600/1200***15/16USSoybeans yield per acre current year----
12/09/20221600/1200***15/16USWheat - Ending Stocks current year---- (m)
12/09/20221600/1200***15/16USWheat Production current year---- (m)
12/09/20221700/1300**SepUSBid to Cover Ratio----
12/09/20221700/1300*16-SepUSBid to Cover Ratio----
13/09/20220600/0700***JulUKAWE (inc bonus) 3m/3m y/y5.15.4%
13/09/20220600/0700***JulUKAvg Earnings(ex-bonus) 3m3m yy4.75.1%
13/09/20220600/0700***JulUKILO Unemployment Rate3.83.8%
13/09/20220600/0700***JulUKPrev Claimant Count Revised-26.8-- (k)
13/09/20220600/0700***JulUKUnemployment Claimant Count-10.6-- (k)
13/09/20220600/0800***AugDEHICP (f) m/m0.40.4%
13/09/20220600/0800***AugDEHICP (f) y/y8.88.8%
13/09/20220700/0900***AugESHICP (f) m/m0.10.1%
13/09/20220700/0900***AugESHICP (f) y/y10.310.3%
13/09/20220900/1100***SepDEZEW Expectations Index-55.3-60
13/09/20220900/1100***SepDEZEW Current Conditions Index-47.6-52
13/09/20221000/0600**AugUSNFIB Small Business Index89.990.5
13/09/20221230/0830***AugUSCPI Ex Food and Energy m/m0.30.3%
13/09/20221230/0830***AugUSCPI Ex Food and Energy y/y (core nsa)5.96.1%
13/09/20221230/0830***AugUSCPI m/m0.0-0.1%
13/09/20221230/0830***AugUSCPI y/y (nsa)8.58.1%
13/09/20221255/0855**10-SepUSRedbook Retail Sales y/y (month)10.9--%
13/09/20221255/0855**10-SepUSRedbook Retail Sales y/y (week)10.9--%
13/09/20221400/1000**SepUSIBD/TIPP Optimism Index38.1--
13/09/20221700/1300***SepUSBid to Cover Ratio----
13/09/20221800/1400**AugUSTreasury budget balance-211.052--USD (b)
14/09/20220600/0700***AugUKCPI m/m0.60.6%
14/09/20220600/0700***AugUKCPI y/y10.110.2%
14/09/20220600/0700***AugUKCore CPI y/y6.26.3%
14/09/20220600/0700***AugUKPPI Input y/y22.622.9%
14/09/20220600/0700***AugUKPPI Output y/y17.117.6%
14/09/20220600/0800***AugSECPIF y/y8.09.1%
14/09/20220830/0930*AugUKONS House Price Index y/y7.8--%
14/09/20220900/1100**JulEUIndustrial Production m/m0.7-1.0%
14/09/20220900/1100**JulEUIndustrial Production y/y wda2.40.8%
14/09/20221100/0700**09-SepUSMBA Mortgage Applications w/w-0.8--%
14/09/20221230/0830***AugUSFinal Demand PPI m/m-0.5-0.1%
14/09/20221230/0830***AugUSPPI ex-food, energy, trade m/m0.2--%
14/09/20221230/0830***AugUSPPI ex. food and energy m/m0.20.3%
14/09/20221430/1030**09-SepUSCrude Oil Stocks ex. SPR w/w8.845--bbl (m)
14/09/20221430/1030**09-SepUSDistillate Stocks w/w change0.095--bbl (m)
14/09/20221430/1030**09-SepUSGasoline Stocks w/w change0.333--bbl (m)
15/09/20220130/1130***AugAUEmployed Persons change m/m-40.935.5 (k)
15/09/20220130/1130***AugAULabor Participation Rate66.466.5%
15/09/20220130/1130***AugAUUnemployment Rate3.43.4%
15/09/20220645/0845***AugFRHICP (f) m/m0.40.4%
15/09/20220645/0845***AugFRHICP (f) y/y6.56.5%
15/09/20220900/1100*JulEUTrade Balance-30.8-33E (b)
15/09/20221230/0830**10-SepUSContinuing Claims1473.01478 (k)
15/09/20221230/0830**10-SepUSInitial Jobless Claims222.0225 (k)
15/09/20221230/0830**10-SepUSPrev Continuing Claims, Rev1437.0-- (k)
15/09/20221230/0830**10-SepUSPrev Initial Jobless Claims, Rev228.0-- (k)
15/09/20221230/0830***AugUSRetail Sales (ex-auto) m/m0.40.0%
15/09/20221230/0830***AugUSRetail Sales (ex-auto, gas) m/m0.70.7%
15/09/20221230/0830***AugUSRetail Sales m/m0.00.0%
15/09/20221230/0830**AugUSExports Price Index m/m-3.3--%
15/09/20221230/0830**AugUSImports Price Index m/m-1.4--%
15/09/20221230/0830**SepUSEmpire Manufacturing Index-31.3-12.8
15/09/20221230/0830**SepUSPhiladelphia Fed Mfg Index6.22.5
15/09/20221230/0830**08-SepUSCorn Net Sales----MT (k)
15/09/20221230/0830**08-SepUSCorn Weekly Exports----MT (k)
15/09/20221230/0830**08-SepUSSoy Net Sales----MT (k)
15/09/20221230/0830**08-SepUSSoy Weekly Exports----MT (k)
15/09/20221230/0830**08-SepUSWheat Net Sales----MT (k)
15/09/20221230/0830**08-SepUSWheat Weekly Exports----MT (k)
15/09/20221300/0900*AugCACREA home resales m/m-5.3--%
15/09/20221315/0915***AugUSCapacity Utilization80.380.3%
15/09/20221315/0915***AugUSIndustrial Production m/m0.60.1%
15/09/20221315/0915***AugUSPrevious Capacity Utilization Revised79.9--%
15/09/20221315/0915***AugUSPrevious Industrial Production Revised0.0--%
15/09/20221400/1000*JulUSBusiness Inventories m/m1.4--%
15/09/20221430/1030**09-SepUSNatural Gas Stocks w/w54.0--Bcf
16/09/20220200/1000***ytdCNUrban Fixed-Asset Investment y/y5.7--%
16/09/20220200/1000***AugCNretail sales y/y2.73.2%
16/09/20220200/1000***AugCNIndustrial Output y/y3.83.8%
16/09/20220200/1000**AugCNSurveyed Unemployment Rate5.45.4%
16/09/20220600/0700***AugUKRetail Sales m/m0.3-0.5%
16/09/20220600/0700***AugUKRetail Sales(ex-fuel) m/m0.4-0.7%
16/09/20220900/1100***AugEUHICP (f) m/m0.50.5%
16/09/20220900/1100***AugEUHICP (f) y/y9.19.1%
16/09/20220900/1100**AugITItaly Final HICP m/m0.80.8%
16/09/20220900/1100**AugITItaly Final HICP y/y9.09.0%
16/09/20221215/0815**AugCACMHC Housing Starts275.3-- (k)
16/09/20221400/1000***SepUSMichigan sentiment index (p)58.260.0
16/09/20222000/1600**JulUSLong Term TICS Flows121.8--USD (b)
16/09/20222000/1600**JulUSNet TICS Flows22.1--USD (b)
1326 words

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DateGMT/LocalImpactPeriodFlagCountryReleasePriorConsensus
12/09/20220600/0700**JulUKNon-EU Trade Balance-12.29--GBP (b)
12/09/20220600/0700**JulUKTotal Trade Balance-11.38711.800GBP (b)
12/09/20220600/0700**JulUKVisible Trade Balance-22.847-22.400GBP (b)
12/09/20220600/0700***JulUKIndustrial Production m/m-0.90.2%
12/09/20220600/0700***JulUKIndustrial Production y/y2.31.8%
12/09/20220600/0700***JulUKManufacturing Output m/m-1.60.1%
12/09/20220600/0700***JulUKManufacturing Output y/y1.41.6%
12/09/20220600/0700**JulUKIndex of Services 3m/3m-0.4-0.2%
12/09/20220600/0700**JulUKIndex of Services m/m-0.50.3%
12/09/20220600/0700**JulUKConstruction Output m/m-1.40.5%
12/09/20220600/0700**JulUKConstruction Output y/y4.15.5%
12/09/20220600/0700**JulUKGDP - 3m y/y2.92.7%
12/09/20220600/0700**JulUKGDP - 3m/3m-0.10.1%
12/09/20220600/0700**JulUKGDP - m/m-0.60.3%
12/09/20220800/1000*JulITIndustrial Production m/m-2.10.0%
12/09/20220800/1000*JulITIndustrial Production y/y wda-1.2-0.6%
12/09/20221230/0830*Q2CAHsehold debt/disposable income----%
12/09/20221500/1100**SepUSNY Fed expectations survey----
12/09/20221530/1130*16-SepUSBid to Cover Ratio----
12/09/20221530/1130***SepUSBid to Cover Ratio----
12/09/20221600/1200***15/16USCorn Ending Stocks current year---- (m)
12/09/20221600/1200***15/16USCorn Production current year---- (m)
12/09/20221600/1200***15/16USCorn yield per acre current year----
12/09/20221600/1200***15/16USCotton Ending Stocks current year---- (m)
12/09/20221600/1200***15/16USCotton Production current year---- (m)
12/09/20221600/1200***15/16USSoybeans - Ending Stocks current year---- (m)
12/09/20221600/1200***15/16USSoybeans Production current year---- (m)
12/09/20221600/1200***15/16USSoybeans yield per acre current year----
12/09/20221600/1200***15/16USWheat - Ending Stocks current year---- (m)
12/09/20221600/1200***15/16USWheat Production current year---- (m)
12/09/20221700/1300**SepUSBid to Cover Ratio----
12/09/20221700/1300*16-SepUSBid to Cover Ratio----
13/09/20220600/0700***JulUKAWE (inc bonus) 3m/3m y/y5.15.4%
13/09/20220600/0700***JulUKAvg Earnings(ex-bonus) 3m3m yy4.75.1%
13/09/20220600/0700***JulUKILO Unemployment Rate3.83.8%
13/09/20220600/0700***JulUKPrev Claimant Count Revised-26.8-- (k)
13/09/20220600/0700***JulUKUnemployment Claimant Count-10.6-- (k)
13/09/20220600/0800***AugDEHICP (f) m/m0.40.4%
13/09/20220600/0800***AugDEHICP (f) y/y8.88.8%
13/09/20220700/0900***AugESHICP (f) m/m0.10.1%
13/09/20220700/0900***AugESHICP (f) y/y10.310.3%
13/09/20220900/1100***SepDEZEW Expectations Index-55.3-60
13/09/20220900/1100***SepDEZEW Current Conditions Index-47.6-52
13/09/20221000/0600**AugUSNFIB Small Business Index89.990.5
13/09/20221230/0830***AugUSCPI Ex Food and Energy m/m0.30.3%
13/09/20221230/0830***AugUSCPI Ex Food and Energy y/y (core nsa)5.96.1%
13/09/20221230/0830***AugUSCPI m/m0.0-0.1%
13/09/20221230/0830***AugUSCPI y/y (nsa)8.58.1%
13/09/20221255/0855**10-SepUSRedbook Retail Sales y/y (month)10.9--%
13/09/20221255/0855**10-SepUSRedbook Retail Sales y/y (week)10.9--%
13/09/20221400/1000**SepUSIBD/TIPP Optimism Index38.1--
13/09/20221700/1300***SepUSBid to Cover Ratio----
13/09/20221800/1400**AugUSTreasury budget balance-211.052--USD (b)
14/09/20220600/0700***AugUKCPI m/m0.60.6%
14/09/20220600/0700***AugUKCPI y/y10.110.2%
14/09/20220600/0700***AugUKCore CPI y/y6.26.3%
14/09/20220600/0700***AugUKPPI Input y/y22.622.9%
14/09/20220600/0700***AugUKPPI Output y/y17.117.6%
14/09/20220600/0800***AugSECPIF y/y8.09.1%
14/09/20220830/0930*AugUKONS House Price Index y/y7.8--%
14/09/20220900/1100**JulEUIndustrial Production m/m0.7-1.0%
14/09/20220900/1100**JulEUIndustrial Production y/y wda2.40.8%
14/09/20221100/0700**09-SepUSMBA Mortgage Applications w/w-0.8--%
14/09/20221230/0830***AugUSFinal Demand PPI m/m-0.5-0.1%
14/09/20221230/0830***AugUSPPI ex-food, energy, trade m/m0.2--%
14/09/20221230/0830***AugUSPPI ex. food and energy m/m0.20.3%
14/09/20221430/1030**09-SepUSCrude Oil Stocks ex. SPR w/w8.845--bbl (m)
14/09/20221430/1030**09-SepUSDistillate Stocks w/w change0.095--bbl (m)
14/09/20221430/1030**09-SepUSGasoline Stocks w/w change0.333--bbl (m)
15/09/20220130/1130***AugAUEmployed Persons change m/m-40.935.5 (k)
15/09/20220130/1130***AugAULabor Participation Rate66.466.5%
15/09/20220130/1130***AugAUUnemployment Rate3.43.4%
15/09/20220645/0845***AugFRHICP (f) m/m0.40.4%
15/09/20220645/0845***AugFRHICP (f) y/y6.56.5%
15/09/20220900/1100*JulEUTrade Balance-30.8-33E (b)
15/09/20221230/0830**10-SepUSContinuing Claims1473.01478 (k)
15/09/20221230/0830**10-SepUSInitial Jobless Claims222.0225 (k)
15/09/20221230/0830**10-SepUSPrev Continuing Claims, Rev1437.0-- (k)
15/09/20221230/0830**10-SepUSPrev Initial Jobless Claims, Rev228.0-- (k)
15/09/20221230/0830***AugUSRetail Sales (ex-auto) m/m0.40.0%
15/09/20221230/0830***AugUSRetail Sales (ex-auto, gas) m/m0.70.7%
15/09/20221230/0830***AugUSRetail Sales m/m0.00.0%
15/09/20221230/0830**AugUSExports Price Index m/m-3.3--%
15/09/20221230/0830**AugUSImports Price Index m/m-1.4--%
15/09/20221230/0830**SepUSEmpire Manufacturing Index-31.3-12.8
15/09/20221230/0830**SepUSPhiladelphia Fed Mfg Index6.22.5
15/09/20221230/0830**08-SepUSCorn Net Sales----MT (k)
15/09/20221230/0830**08-SepUSCorn Weekly Exports----MT (k)
15/09/20221230/0830**08-SepUSSoy Net Sales----MT (k)
15/09/20221230/0830**08-SepUSSoy Weekly Exports----MT (k)
15/09/20221230/0830**08-SepUSWheat Net Sales----MT (k)
15/09/20221230/0830**08-SepUSWheat Weekly Exports----MT (k)
15/09/20221300/0900*AugCACREA home resales m/m-5.3--%
15/09/20221315/0915***AugUSCapacity Utilization80.380.3%
15/09/20221315/0915***AugUSIndustrial Production m/m0.60.1%
15/09/20221315/0915***AugUSPrevious Capacity Utilization Revised79.9--%
15/09/20221315/0915***AugUSPrevious Industrial Production Revised0.0--%
15/09/20221400/1000*JulUSBusiness Inventories m/m1.4--%
15/09/20221430/1030**09-SepUSNatural Gas Stocks w/w54.0--Bcf
16/09/20220200/1000***ytdCNUrban Fixed-Asset Investment y/y5.7--%
16/09/20220200/1000***AugCNretail sales y/y2.73.2%
16/09/20220200/1000***AugCNIndustrial Output y/y3.83.8%
16/09/20220200/1000**AugCNSurveyed Unemployment Rate5.45.4%
16/09/20220600/0700***AugUKRetail Sales m/m0.3-0.5%
16/09/20220600/0700***AugUKRetail Sales(ex-fuel) m/m0.4-0.7%
16/09/20220900/1100***AugEUHICP (f) m/m0.50.5%
16/09/20220900/1100***AugEUHICP (f) y/y9.19.1%
16/09/20220900/1100**AugITItaly Final HICP m/m0.80.8%
16/09/20220900/1100**AugITItaly Final HICP y/y9.09.0%
16/09/20221215/0815**AugCACMHC Housing Starts275.3-- (k)
16/09/20221400/1000***SepUSMichigan sentiment index (p)58.260.0
16/09/20222000/1600**JulUSLong Term TICS Flows121.8--USD (b)
16/09/20222000/1600**JulUSNet TICS Flows22.1--USD (b)