MNI DATA FORECASTS: Markets Eyeing US Jobs Data

Forecasts for data releases in the week commencing May 1.

(MNI) LONDON

Date	GMT/Local	Impact	Period	Flag	Country	Release	Prior	Consensus
01/05/2023	2300/0900	**	Mar		AU	S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (f)	48.1	--
01/05/2023	0030/0930	**	Apr		JP	S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (f)	--	--
01/05/2023	1345/0945	***	Apr		US	S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (f)	50.4	50.4
01/05/2023	1400/1000	***	Apr		US	ISM Man. Employment Index	--	--
01/05/2023	1400/1000	***	Apr		US	ISM Manufacturing Index	46.3	46.8
01/05/2023	1400/1000	***	Apr		US	ISM Manufacturing New Orders	44.3	--
01/05/2023	1400/1000	***	Apr		US	ISM Manufacturing Prices Index	49.2	49.0
01/05/2023	1400/1000	*	Mar		US	Construction Spending m/m	-0.1	0.1	%
01/05/2023	1530/1130	*	05-May		US	Bid to Cover Ratio	--	--
01/05/2023	1530/1130	*	05-May		US	Bid to Cover Ratio	--	--
02/05/2023	2301/0001	*	Apr		UK	BRC Shop Price Index m/m	0.8	--	%
02/05/2023	2301/0001	*	Apr		UK	BRC Shop Price Index y/y	8.9	--	%
02/05/2023	0430/1430	***			AU	Interest Rate	3.6	3.6	%
02/05/2023	0430/1430	***			AU	Interest Rate Change	0.0	0.0	%
02/05/2023	0600/0800	**	Mar		DE	Retail Sales m/m	-1.3	0.4	%
02/05/2023	0600/0800	**	Mar		DE	Retail Sales y/y	--	--	%
02/05/2023	0715/0915	**	Apr		ES	S&P Global Manufacturing PMI	--	--
02/05/2023	0745/0945	**	Apr		IT	S&P Global Manufacturing PMI	--	--
02/05/2023	0750/0950	**	Apr		FR	S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (f)	--	--
02/05/2023	0755/0955	**	Apr		DE	S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (f)	--	--
02/05/2023	0800/1000	**	Apr		EU	M3 3m. average	--	--	%
02/05/2023	0800/1000	**	Apr		EU	M3 y/y	2.9	2.4	%
02/05/2023	0800/1000	**	Apr		EU	S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (f)	--	--
02/05/2023	0830/0930	**	Apr		UK	S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (f)	--	--
02/05/2023	0900/1100	***	Apr		EU	HICP (p) 'Core' y/y	5.7	5.6	%
02/05/2023	0900/1100	***	Apr		EU	HICP (p) y/y	6.9	7.0	%
02/05/2023	0900/1100	***	Apr		IT	HICP (p) m/m	0.8	0.3	%
02/05/2023	0900/1100	***	Apr		IT	HICP (p) y/y	8.1	7.9	%
02/05/2023	1000/1200	**	Apr		IT	PPI m/m	-1.3	--	%
02/05/2023	1000/1200	**	Apr		IT	PPI y/y	10.0	--	%
02/05/2023	1255/0855	**	29-Apr		US	Redbook Retail Sales y/y (month)	--	--	%
02/05/2023	1255/0855	**	29-Apr		US	Redbook Retail Sales y/y (week)	--	--	%
02/05/2023	1400/1000	**	Mar		US	Factory New Orders	-0.7	1.3	%
02/05/2023	1400/1000	**	Mar		US	Factory Orders ex-transport	-0.3	--	%
02/05/2023	1400/1000	**	Mar		US	JOLTS job openings level	9931.0	--	(k)
02/05/2023	1400/1000	**	Mar		US	JOLTS quits rate	2.6	--	%
02/05/2023	-	***	Apr		US	NA-made light vehicle sales SAAR	14.82	--	(m)
02/05/2023	1530/1130	*	05-May		US	Bid to Cover Ratio	--	--
03/05/2023	2245/1045	***	Q1		NZ	Employed Persons q/q	0.2	0.4	%
03/05/2023	2245/1045	***	Q1		NZ	Labor Participation Rate	71.7	71.8	%
03/05/2023	2245/1045	***	Q1		NZ	Unemployment Rate	3.4	3.5	%
03/05/2023	2300/0900	*	Apr		AU	S&P Global Services PMI (f)	52.6	--
03/05/2023	0130/1130	**	May		AU	Retail Trade m/m	0.2	0.3	%
03/05/2023	0900/1100	**	Apr		EU	Unemployment	6.6	6.6	%
03/05/2023	0900/1000	**	05-May		UK	Bid to Cover Ratio	--	--
03/05/2023	1100/0700	**	28-Apr		US	MBA Mortgage Applications w/w	--	--	%
03/05/2023	1215/0815	***	Apr		US	ADP Private Payrolls	145	143	(k)
03/05/2023	1345/0945	***	Apr		US	S&P Global Services Index (f)	53.7	53.7
03/05/2023	1400/1000	***	Apr		US	ISM Non-manufacturing Index	51.2	51.8
03/05/2023	1400/1000	***	Apr		US	ISM Services Employment Index	51.3	--
03/05/2023	1400/1000	***	Apr		US	ISM Services New Orders	--	--
03/05/2023	1400/1000	***	Apr		US	ISM Services Prices Index	59.5	--
03/05/2023	1400/1000	**	Q1		US	housing vacancies rate	--	--	%
03/05/2023	1430/1030	**	28-Apr		US	Crude Oil Stocks ex. SPR w/w	--	--	bbl (m)
03/05/2023	1430/1030	**	28-Apr		US	Distillate Stocks w/w change	--	--	bbl (m)
03/05/2023	1430/1030	**	28-Apr		US	Gasoline Stocks w/w change	--	--	bbl (m)
03/05/2023	1800/1400	***			US	Federal Funds Rate Range Maximum	5.0	5.25	%
04/05/2023	0130/1130	**	May		AU	Trade Balance	13870.0	13000	AUD (m)
04/05/2023	0145/0945	**	Apr		CN	S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (f)	51.9	51.4
04/05/2023	0715/0915	**	Apr		ES	S&P Global Services PMI	--	--
04/05/2023	0745/0945	**	Apr		IT	S&P Global Services PMI	--	--
04/05/2023	0750/0950	**	Apr		FR	S&P Global Services PMI (f)	--	--
04/05/2023	0755/0955	**	Apr		DE	S&P Global Services PMI (f)	--	--
04/05/2023	0800/1000	***			NO	Interest Rate Decision	3.0	3.25	%
04/05/2023	0800/1000	**	Apr		EU	S&P Global Services PMI (f)	--	--
04/05/2023	0830/0930	**	Apr		UK	M4 Money Supply m/m	-0.4	--	%
04/05/2023	0830/0930	**	Apr		UK	M4 Money Supply y/y	1.0	--	%
04/05/2023	0830/0930	**	Apr		UK	Mortgage Approvals (BOE)	43536.0	46000
04/05/2023	0830/0930	**	Apr		UK	Net Consumer Credit (BOE)	1.413	1.2	GBP (b)
04/05/2023	0830/0930	**	Apr		UK	Net Lending On Dwellings	0.738	1.6	GBP (b)
04/05/2023	0830/0930	**	Apr		UK	S&P Global Services PMI (f)	--	--
04/05/2023	0900/1100	**	Mar		EU	PPI m/m	-0.5	-1.6	%
04/05/2023	0900/1100	**	Mar		EU	PPI y/y	13.2	5.9	%
04/05/2023	1215/1415	***			EU	ECB Deposit Rate	3.0	3.25	%
04/05/2023	1215/1415	***			EU	ECB Refinancing Rate	3.5	3.75	%
04/05/2023	1215/1415	***			EU	ECB Lending Rate %	3.75	4.0	%
04/05/2023	1230/0830	**	29-Apr		US	Continuing Claims	--	--	(k)
04/05/2023	1230/0830	**	29-Apr		US	Initial Jobless Claims	--	--	(k)
04/05/2023	1230/0830	**	29-Apr		US	Prev Continuing Claims, Rev	--	--	(k)
04/05/2023	1230/0830	**	29-Apr		US	Prev Initial Jobless Claims, Rev	--	--	(k)
04/05/2023	1230/0830	**	27-Apr		US	Corn Net Sales	--	--	MT (k)
04/05/2023	1230/0830	**	27-Apr		US	Corn Weekly Exports	--	--	MT (k)
04/05/2023	1230/0830	**	27-Apr		US	Soy Net Sales	--	--	MT (k)
04/05/2023	1230/0830	**	27-Apr		US	Soy Weekly Exports	--	--	MT (k)
04/05/2023	1230/0830	**	27-Apr		US	Wheat Net Sales	--	--	MT (k)
04/05/2023	1230/0830	**	27-Apr		US	Wheat Weekly Exports	--	--	MT (k)
04/05/2023	1230/0830	**	Mar		US	Previous Trade Deficit Revised	-68.7	--	USD (b)
04/05/2023	1230/0830	**	Mar		US	Trade Balance	-70.5	-63.5	USD (b)
04/05/2023	1230/0830	**	Q1		US	Previous Non-Farm Productivity Revised	--	--	%
04/05/2023	1230/0830	**	Q1		US	Previous Non-Farm Productivity Unit Labor Revised	--	--	%
04/05/2023	1230/0830	**	Q1		US	non-farm productivity (p)	1.7	-0.1	%
04/05/2023	1230/0830	**	Q1		US	unit labor costs (p)	3.2	4.0	%
04/05/2023	1400/1000	*	Apr		CA	Ivey PMI (SA)	58.2	--
04/05/2023	1430/1030	**	28-Apr		US	Natural Gas Stocks w/w	79.0	--	Bcf
05/05/2023	0145/0945	**	Apr		CN	IHS Markit Services PMI (f)	58.2	57.0
05/05/2023	0545/0745	**	Apr		CH	Unemployment Rate	1.9	1.9	%
05/05/2023	0545/0745	**	Apr		CH	Unemployment m/m	-5.8	--	%
05/05/2023	0545/0745	**	Apr		CH	Unemployment y/y	-15.3	--	%
05/05/2023	0600/0800	**	Mar		DE	Trade balance exports m/m	4.0	-2.4	%
05/05/2023	0600/0800	**	Mar		DE	Trade balance imports m/m	4.6	-2.4	%
05/05/2023	0600/0800	**	Mar		DE	Trade balance m/m	16.0	16	E (b)
05/05/2023	0600/0800	**	Mar		DE	Manufacturing Orders m/m	4.8	-2.5	%
05/05/2023	0630/0830	***	Apr		CH	CPI m/m	0.2	0.2	%
05/05/2023	0630/0830	***	Apr		CH	CPI y/y	2.9	2.8	%
05/05/2023	0645/0845	*	Mar		FR	Industrial Production m/m	1.2	-0.6	%
05/05/2023	0645/0845	*	Mar		FR	Industrial Production y/y	1.3	1.1	%
05/05/2023	0645/0845	*	Mar		FR	Manufacturing Prod m/m	1.3	--	%
05/05/2023	0645/0845	*	Mar		FR	Manufacturing Prod y/y	2.2	--	%
05/05/2023	0700/0900	**	Mar		ES	Industrial Production y/y	--	--	%
05/05/2023	0730/0930	**	Apr		EU	IHS Markit Construction PMI	--	--
05/05/2023	0800/1000	*	Mar		IT	Retail Sales m/m	-0.1	--	%
05/05/2023	0800/1000	*	Mar		IT	Retail Sales y/y nsa	5.8	--	%
05/05/2023	0830/0930	**	Apr		UK	S&P Global Construction PMI	--	--
05/05/2023	0900/1100	**	Mar		EU	Retail Sales m/m	-0.8	-0.2	%
05/05/2023	0900/1100	**	Mar		EU	Retail Sales y/y wda	-3.0	-3.3	%
05/05/2023	1230/0830	***	Apr		CA	Employment	34.7	--	(k)
05/05/2023	1230/0830	***	Apr		CA	Unemployment Rate	5.0	--	%
05/05/2023	1230/0830	***	Apr		US	Average Hourly Earnings, m/m	0.3	0.3	%
05/05/2023	1230/0830	***	Apr		US	Average Workweek, All Workers	34.4	34.5	hrs
05/05/2023	1230/0830	***	Apr		US	Nonfarm Payrolls	236.0	180	(k)
05/05/2023	1230/0830	***	Apr		US	Prev Nonfarm Payrolls, Rev	326.0	--	(k)
05/05/2023	1230/0830	***	Apr		US	Private Payrolls	189.0	154	(k)
05/05/2023	1230/0830	***	Apr		US	Unemployment Rate	3.5	3.6	%
05/05/2023	1900/1500	*	Mar		US	consumer credit	15.3	16.5	USD (b)

MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com

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MNI DATA FORECASTS: Markets Eyeing US Jobs Data

Forecasts for data releases in the week commencing May 1.

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MNI DATA FORECASTS: Markets Eyeing US Jobs Data

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