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MNI DATA FORECASTS: Markets Eyeing US Jobs Data

Forecasts for data releases in the week commencing May 1.

DateGMT/LocalImpactPeriodFlagCountryReleasePriorConsensus
01/05/20232300/0900**MarAUS&P Global Manufacturing PMI (f)48.1--
01/05/20230030/0930**AprJPS&P Global Manufacturing PMI (f)----
01/05/20231345/0945***AprUSS&P Global Manufacturing PMI (f)50.450.4
01/05/20231400/1000***AprUSISM Man. Employment Index----
01/05/20231400/1000***AprUSISM Manufacturing Index46.346.8
01/05/20231400/1000***AprUSISM Manufacturing New Orders44.3--
01/05/20231400/1000***AprUSISM Manufacturing Prices Index49.249.0
01/05/20231400/1000*MarUSConstruction Spending m/m-0.10.1%
01/05/20231530/1130*05-MayUSBid to Cover Ratio----
01/05/20231530/1130*05-MayUSBid to Cover Ratio----
02/05/20232301/0001*AprUKBRC Shop Price Index m/m0.8--%
02/05/20232301/0001*AprUKBRC Shop Price Index y/y8.9--%
02/05/20230430/1430***AUInterest Rate3.63.6%
02/05/20230430/1430***AUInterest Rate Change0.00.0%
02/05/20230600/0800**MarDERetail Sales m/m-1.30.4%
02/05/20230600/0800**MarDERetail Sales y/y----%
02/05/20230715/0915**AprESS&P Global Manufacturing PMI----
02/05/20230745/0945**AprITS&P Global Manufacturing PMI----
02/05/20230750/0950**AprFRS&P Global Manufacturing PMI (f)----
02/05/20230755/0955**AprDES&P Global Manufacturing PMI (f)----
02/05/20230800/1000**AprEUM3 3m. average----%
02/05/20230800/1000**AprEUM3 y/y2.92.4%
02/05/20230800/1000**AprEUS&P Global Manufacturing PMI (f)----
02/05/20230830/0930**AprUKS&P Global Manufacturing PMI (f)----
02/05/20230900/1100***AprEUHICP (p) 'Core' y/y5.75.6%
02/05/20230900/1100***AprEUHICP (p) y/y6.97.0%
02/05/20230900/1100***AprITHICP (p) m/m0.80.3%
02/05/20230900/1100***AprITHICP (p) y/y8.17.9%
02/05/20231000/1200**AprITPPI m/m-1.3--%
02/05/20231000/1200**AprITPPI y/y10.0--%
02/05/20231255/0855**29-AprUSRedbook Retail Sales y/y (month)----%
02/05/20231255/0855**29-AprUSRedbook Retail Sales y/y (week)----%
02/05/20231400/1000**MarUSFactory New Orders-0.71.3%
02/05/20231400/1000**MarUSFactory Orders ex-transport-0.3--%
02/05/20231400/1000**MarUSJOLTS job openings level9931.0-- (k)
02/05/20231400/1000**MarUSJOLTS quits rate2.6--%
02/05/2023-***AprUSNA-made light vehicle sales SAAR14.82-- (m)
02/05/20231530/1130*05-MayUSBid to Cover Ratio----
03/05/20232245/1045***Q1NZEmployed Persons q/q0.20.4%
03/05/20232245/1045***Q1NZLabor Participation Rate71.771.8%
03/05/20232245/1045***Q1NZUnemployment Rate3.43.5%
03/05/20232300/0900*AprAUS&P Global Services PMI (f)52.6--
03/05/20230130/1130**MayAURetail Trade m/m0.20.3%
03/05/20230900/1100**AprEUUnemployment6.66.6%
03/05/20230900/1000**05-MayUKBid to Cover Ratio----
03/05/20231100/0700**28-AprUSMBA Mortgage Applications w/w----%
03/05/20231215/0815***AprUSADP Private Payrolls145143 (k)
03/05/20231345/0945***AprUSS&P Global Services Index (f)53.753.7
03/05/20231400/1000***AprUSISM Non-manufacturing Index51.251.8
03/05/20231400/1000***AprUSISM Services Employment Index51.3--
03/05/20231400/1000***AprUSISM Services New Orders----
03/05/20231400/1000***AprUSISM Services Prices Index59.5--
03/05/20231400/1000**Q1UShousing vacancies rate----%
03/05/20231430/1030**28-AprUSCrude Oil Stocks ex. SPR w/w----bbl (m)
03/05/20231430/1030**28-AprUSDistillate Stocks w/w change----bbl (m)
03/05/20231430/1030**28-AprUSGasoline Stocks w/w change----bbl (m)
03/05/20231800/1400***USFederal Funds Rate Range Maximum5.05.25%
04/05/20230130/1130**MayAUTrade Balance13870.013000AUD (m)
04/05/20230145/0945**AprCNS&P Global Manufacturing PMI (f)51.951.4
04/05/20230715/0915**AprESS&P Global Services PMI----
04/05/20230745/0945**AprITS&P Global Services PMI----
04/05/20230750/0950**AprFRS&P Global Services PMI (f)----
04/05/20230755/0955**AprDES&P Global Services PMI (f)----
04/05/20230800/1000***NOInterest Rate Decision3.03.25%
04/05/20230800/1000**AprEUS&P Global Services PMI (f)----
04/05/20230830/0930**AprUKM4 Money Supply m/m-0.4--%
04/05/20230830/0930**AprUKM4 Money Supply y/y1.0--%
04/05/20230830/0930**AprUKMortgage Approvals (BOE)43536.046000
04/05/20230830/0930**AprUKNet Consumer Credit (BOE)1.4131.2GBP (b)
04/05/20230830/0930**AprUKNet Lending On Dwellings0.7381.6GBP (b)
04/05/20230830/0930**AprUKS&P Global Services PMI (f)----
04/05/20230900/1100**MarEUPPI m/m-0.5-1.6%
04/05/20230900/1100**MarEUPPI y/y13.25.9%
04/05/20231215/1415***EUECB Deposit Rate3.03.25%
04/05/20231215/1415***EUECB Refinancing Rate3.53.75%
04/05/20231215/1415***EUECB Lending Rate %3.754.0%
04/05/20231230/0830**29-AprUSContinuing Claims---- (k)
04/05/20231230/0830**29-AprUSInitial Jobless Claims---- (k)
04/05/20231230/0830**29-AprUSPrev Continuing Claims, Rev---- (k)
04/05/20231230/0830**29-AprUSPrev Initial Jobless Claims, Rev---- (k)
04/05/20231230/0830**27-AprUSCorn Net Sales----MT (k)
04/05/20231230/0830**27-AprUSCorn Weekly Exports----MT (k)
04/05/20231230/0830**27-AprUSSoy Net Sales----MT (k)
04/05/20231230/0830**27-AprUSSoy Weekly Exports----MT (k)
04/05/20231230/0830**27-AprUSWheat Net Sales----MT (k)
04/05/20231230/0830**27-AprUSWheat Weekly Exports----MT (k)
04/05/20231230/0830**MarUSPrevious Trade Deficit Revised-68.7--USD (b)
04/05/20231230/0830**MarUSTrade Balance-70.5-63.5USD (b)
04/05/20231230/0830**Q1USPrevious Non-Farm Productivity Revised----%
04/05/20231230/0830**Q1USPrevious Non-Farm Productivity Unit Labor Revised----%
04/05/20231230/0830**Q1USnon-farm productivity (p)1.7-0.1%
04/05/20231230/0830**Q1USunit labor costs (p)3.24.0%
04/05/20231400/1000*AprCAIvey PMI (SA)58.2--
04/05/20231430/1030**28-AprUSNatural Gas Stocks w/w79.0--Bcf
05/05/20230145/0945**AprCNIHS Markit Services PMI (f)58.257.0
05/05/20230545/0745**AprCHUnemployment Rate1.91.9%
05/05/20230545/0745**AprCHUnemployment m/m-5.8--%
05/05/20230545/0745**AprCHUnemployment y/y-15.3--%
05/05/20230600/0800**MarDETrade balance exports m/m4.0-2.4%
05/05/20230600/0800**MarDETrade balance imports m/m4.6-2.4%
05/05/20230600/0800**MarDETrade balance m/m16.016E (b)
05/05/20230600/0800**MarDEManufacturing Orders m/m4.8-2.5%
05/05/20230630/0830***AprCHCPI m/m0.20.2%
05/05/20230630/0830***AprCHCPI y/y2.92.8%
05/05/20230645/0845*MarFRIndustrial Production m/m1.2-0.6%
05/05/20230645/0845*MarFRIndustrial Production y/y1.31.1%
05/05/20230645/0845*MarFRManufacturing Prod m/m1.3--%
05/05/20230645/0845*MarFRManufacturing Prod y/y2.2--%
05/05/20230700/0900**MarESIndustrial Production y/y----%
05/05/20230730/0930**AprEUIHS Markit Construction PMI----
05/05/20230800/1000*MarITRetail Sales m/m-0.1--%
05/05/20230800/1000*MarITRetail Sales y/y nsa5.8--%
05/05/20230830/0930**AprUKS&P Global Construction PMI----
05/05/20230900/1100**MarEURetail Sales m/m-0.8-0.2%
05/05/20230900/1100**MarEURetail Sales y/y wda-3.0-3.3%
05/05/20231230/0830***AprCAEmployment34.7-- (k)
05/05/20231230/0830***AprCAUnemployment Rate5.0--%
05/05/20231230/0830***AprUSAverage Hourly Earnings, m/m0.30.3%
05/05/20231230/0830***AprUSAverage Workweek, All Workers34.434.5hrs
05/05/20231230/0830***AprUSNonfarm Payrolls236.0180 (k)
05/05/20231230/0830***AprUSPrev Nonfarm Payrolls, Rev326.0-- (k)
05/05/20231230/0830***AprUSPrivate Payrolls189.0154 (k)
05/05/20231230/0830***AprUSUnemployment Rate3.53.6%
05/05/20231900/1500*MarUSconsumer credit15.316.5USD (b)
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com
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MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com
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